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The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −42 552.08₸

Invest at least 125 154.10₸

Average return 82 602.02₸

ROI −34.0%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 125 154.10 ₸, profit at most −42 552.08 ₸

float premium: at least 69 015 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +39 256.40 ₸ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 381 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

14 359.74 ₸

at 4 786.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5 784.60 ₸ +998.02 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +7 637.52 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0532

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

14 155.53 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0756
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0242

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

24 865.34 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0072
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53 380.61 ₸ +29 221.41 (+54.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −62 172 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

4 786.58 ₸

at 4 786.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5 784.60 ₸ +998.02 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1764
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +7 637.52 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0564

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

42 466.60 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0792
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

14 919.21 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0117
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62 172.38 ₸ +33 093.31 (+53.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 776 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

9 573.16 ₸

at 4 786.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5 784.60 ₸ +998.02 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +7 637.52 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

28 311.06 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0771
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0246

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

19 892.27 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57 776.50 ₸ +31 157.39 (+53.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 787 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

4 786.58 ₸

at 4 786.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 5 784.60 ₸ +998.02 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1692
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +7 637.52 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0541

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

10 161.87 ₸

at 3 387.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 4 949.79 ₸ +1 562.50 ₸ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1119
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 5 906.25 ₸ +2 518.96 ₸ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1150

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

29 838.41 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0088

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 44 786.86 ₸ +12 487.81 (+27.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −68 673 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

63 699.90 ₸

at 7 077.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 10 123.07 ₸ +3 045.30 ₸ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 12 424.09 ₸ +5 346.33 ₸ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

4 973.07 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68 672.96 ₸ +39 256.40 (+57.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 75%
Losing outcome 25%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

142 591.81 ₸ 25.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 208.99 ₸ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

35 493.94 ₸ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

81 674.58 ₸ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +15 537.95 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25 028.77 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3383455 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 31 469.14₸ · invest 69 285.52₸
profit on prices without salesat least −63 454 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162896 instead of 0.166322; StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074485 instead of 0.075677
Craft 3377590 · The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 27 149.76₸ · invest 67 675.28₸
profit on prices without salesat least −63 509 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168648 instead of 0.166322; StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 2; StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076486 instead of 0.075677

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build