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The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +42.00₴

Invest 208.77₴

Average return 250.77₴

ROI +20.1%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 513.51 ₴, profit at most −262.74 ₴

float premium: at least 297 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +44.14 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

27.70 ₴

at 27.70

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 28.72 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 35.53 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0537
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +52.51 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0353

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

35.53 ₴

at 35.53

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 67.16 ₴ +31.63 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +44.68 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 83.10 ₴ +47.57 ₴ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×8

M249 | Hypnosis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

145.54 ₴

at 18.19

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 19.28 ₴ +1.08 ₴ per item · on the market 468 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 22.81 ₴ +4.62 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 30.84 ₴ +12.64 ₴ per item · on the market 533 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 208.77 ₴ +42.00 (+20.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

35.53 ₴

at 35.53

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 67.16 ₴ +31.63 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +44.68 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 83.10 ₴ +47.57 ₴ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×9

M249 | Hypnosis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

163.73 ₴

at 18.19

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 19.28 ₴ +1.08 ₴ per item · on the market 468 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 22.81 ₴ +4.62 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 30.84 ₴ +12.64 ₴ per item · on the market 533 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 199.26 ₴ +44.14 (+22.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

55.39 ₴

at 27.70

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 28.72 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 35.53 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0537
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +52.51 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0353

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

35.53 ₴

at 35.53

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 67.16 ₴ +31.63 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +44.68 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 83.10 ₴ +47.57 ₴ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×7

M249 | Hypnosis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

127.34 ₴

at 18.19

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 19.28 ₴ +1.08 ₴ per item · on the market 468 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 22.81 ₴ +4.62 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 30.84 ₴ +12.64 ₴ per item · on the market 533 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 218.27 ₴ +39.87 (+18.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −20 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

83.09 ₴

at 27.70

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 28.72 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 35.53 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0537
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +52.51 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0353

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

35.53 ₴

at 35.53

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 67.16 ₴ +31.63 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +44.68 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 83.10 ₴ +47.57 ₴ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×6

M249 | Hypnosis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

109.15 ₴

at 18.19

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 19.28 ₴ +1.08 ₴ per item · on the market 468 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 22.81 ₴ +4.62 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 30.84 ₴ +12.64 ₴ per item · on the market 533 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 227.78 ₴ +37.73 (+16.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −36 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

110.79 ₴

at 27.70

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 28.72 ₴ +1.03 ₴ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 35.53 ₴ +7.83 ₴ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0537
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +52.51 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0353

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

35.53 ₴

at 35.53

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 67.16 ₴ +31.63 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 80.21 ₴ +44.68 ₴ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 83.10 ₴ +47.57 ₴ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×5

M249 | Hypnosis

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

90.96 ₴

at 18.19

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 19.28 ₴ +1.08 ₴ per item · on the market 468 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 22.81 ₴ +4.62 ₴ per item · on the market 211 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 30.84 ₴ +12.64 ₴ per item · on the market 533 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 237.28 ₴ +35.59 (+15.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 36%

about break-even

Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.056099

239.35 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Turbine

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

551.69 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Saibā Oni

Factory New

float up to 0.046199

227.69 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

103.80 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

SSG 08 | Rapid Transit

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

234.64 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

293.57 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

824.71 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

368.10 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

248.58 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

45.90 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.70 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.53 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build