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The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −7.28$

Invest at least 19.85$

Average return 12.58$

ROI −36.6%

Chance of profit 38%

With float: invest at least 19.85 $, profit at most −7.28 $

float premium: at least 12 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

0.81 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 1.07 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 1.45 $ +0.64 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0531
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 4.58 $ +3.78 $ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0349

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.41 $

at 0.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ AUG | Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear) — 1.08 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0972

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5.88 $

at 0.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 1.14 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.10 $ +4.48 (+55.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.61 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 1.07 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 1.45 $ +0.64 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0531
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 4.58 $ +3.78 $ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0349

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.41 $

at 0.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ AUG | Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear) — 1.08 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0972

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5.04 $

at 0.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 1.14 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.07 $ +3.96 (+49.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2.42 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 1.07 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 1.45 $ +0.64 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0531
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 4.58 $ +3.78 $ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0349

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.41 $

at 0.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ AUG | Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear) — 1.08 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0972

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4.20 $

at 0.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 1.14 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.03 $ +3.44 (+42.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3.23 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 1.07 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 1.45 $ +0.64 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0531
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 4.58 $ +3.78 $ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0349

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.41 $

at 0.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ AUG | Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear) — 1.08 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0972

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3.36 $

at 0.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 1.14 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.00 $ +2.92 (+36.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4.84 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 1.07 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 1.45 $ +0.64 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0531
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 4.58 $ +3.78 $ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0349

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.41 $

at 0.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear) — 0.84 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.14 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.1080
StatTrak™ AUG | Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear) — 1.08 $ +0.37 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.0972

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1.68 $

at 0.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear) — 0.85 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Minimal Wear) — 1.14 $ +0.30 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.56 $ per item · on the market 188 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.94 $ +1.88 (+23.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 74%
Losing outcome 26%

in profit

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.065999

12.30 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Turbine

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23.53 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Saibā Oni

Factory New

float up to 0.054352

9.93 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

5.00 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Rapid Transit

Factory New

float up to 0.061764

24.73 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.049411

6.67 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

3.86 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.042823

23.18 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.041176

7.79 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.181999

2.23 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The Gallery Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.37 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.41 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Gallery Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3390074 · The Gallery Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 4.38$ · invest 8.11$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3390006 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 4.30$ · invest 8.18$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074215 instead of 0.075925; StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Statics (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074215 instead of 0.075925

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build