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The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −16.92$

Invest at least 28.48$

Average return 11.56$

ROI −59.4%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 28.48 $, profit at most −16.92 $

float premium: at least 16 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1675

8.39 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 1.06 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.2254
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 1.82 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.1005
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 2.68 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 245 · buy 0.0700–0.0837

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4919

2.98 $

at 2.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Flashback (Well-Worn) — 3.61 $ +0.64 $ per item · on the market 324 · buy 0.3800–0.4500
G3SG1 | Stinger (Field-Tested) — 3.72 $ +0.75 $ per item · on the market 190 · buy 0.1500–0.3443
USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested) — 3.85 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 524 · buy 0.1500–0.2705

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.36 $ +0.20 (+1.8%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

5.11 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.063999

23.41 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

4.59 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Mecha Industries

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

32.51 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

34.21 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

34.12 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.63 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380473 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 0.19$ · invest 9.65$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred) instead of Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162996 instead of 0.167557

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build