Skip to content

Crafts · The Falchion Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +75.41$

Invest 181.56$

Average return 256.97$

ROI +41.5%

Chance of profit 85%

With float: invest at least 420.73 $, profit at most −163.77 $

float premium: at least 221 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +84.63 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −182 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

78.17 $

at 15.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 22.36 $ +6.73 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +11.81 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0237

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

54.89 $

at 27.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 49.68 $ +22.23 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0117
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 76.02 $ +48.57 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0117

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

31.73 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) — 16.77 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0849
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +52.80 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.1061

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

16.77 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0650
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0928

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 181.56 $ +75.41 (+41.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −219 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

27.44 $

at 27.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 49.68 $ +22.23 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0174
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 76.02 $ +48.57 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0174

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

117.40 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0668
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0954

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

73.92 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0069

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 218.76 $ +47.34 (+21.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −209 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

54.89 $

at 27.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 49.68 $ +22.23 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0156
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 76.02 $ +48.57 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0156

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

117.40 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0662
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0946

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

36.96 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 209.25 $ +55.33 (+26.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −179 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

125.08 $

at 15.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 22.36 $ +6.73 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +11.81 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0240

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

16.77 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0656
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0938

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

36.96 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178.81 $ +76.63 (+42.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −185 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

62.54 $

at 15.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 22.36 $ +6.73 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +11.81 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0239

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

54.89 $

at 27.44

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) — 49.68 $ +22.23 $ per item · on the market 10 · buy 0.0000–0.0132
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 76.02 $ +48.57 $ per item · on the market 4 · buy 0.0000–0.0132

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

67.08 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0654
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0935

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 184.51 $ +73.98 (+40.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 15%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

314.98 $ 35.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

265.54 $ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

406.89 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

208.64 $ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 78.17 → 193.09 $

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 54.89 → 121.30 $

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 31.73 → 70.12 $

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 16.77 → 36.23 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.055999, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +41.11 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +64.62 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

Home Crafts Knives and gloves Chains Calculator Pretty floats Interesting Market Price table Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work