The Falchion Collection — craft

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

10.57 $

at 10.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 12.78 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1620
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +16.87 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0518

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1620

76.14 $

at 9.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) — 15.86 $ +6.35 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1417
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 28.39 $ +18.87 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.2025

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

16.77 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0649
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0927

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.48 $ +11.62 (+11.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

21.15 $

at 10.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 12.78 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1673
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +16.87 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

15.63 $

at 15.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 22.36 $ +6.73 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +11.81 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1673

66.62 $

at 9.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) — 15.86 $ +6.35 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1464
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 28.39 $ +18.87 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.2091

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.40 $ +2.59 (+2.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

10.57 $

at 10.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 12.78 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1636
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +16.87 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0523

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

15.63 $

at 15.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 22.36 $ +6.73 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0747
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +11.81 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0239

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

76.14 $

at 9.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) — 15.86 $ +6.35 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1432
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 28.39 $ +18.87 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.2045

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.34 $ +8.20 (+8.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

42.29 $

at 10.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 12.78 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +16.87 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

57.10 $

at 9.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) — 15.86 $ +6.35 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.1426
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Field-Tested) — 28.39 $ +18.87 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.2038

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 99.40 $ +2.04 (+2.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

200.05 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

75.15 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

96.57 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

73.91 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.96 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3394185 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.71$ · invest 106.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build

What you get 4 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build