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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 383.08₸

Invest at least 5 123.00₸

Average return 2 739.92₸

ROI −46.5%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 5 123.00 ₸, profit at most −2 383.08 ₸

float premium: at least 2 561 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +2 647.46 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0991

365.56 ₸

at 365.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 483.32 ₸ +117.76 ₸ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0991
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 657.32 ₸ +291.77 ₸ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0693
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 1 519.36 ₸ +1 153.80 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0793

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

99.37 ₸

at 99.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear) — 106.85 ₸ +7.48 ₸ per item · on the market 205 · buy 0.0700–0.0706
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear) — 163.26 ₸ +63.89 ₸ per item · on the market 594 · buy 0.0700–0.0785
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) — 203.08 ₸ +103.71 ₸ per item · on the market 306 · buy 0.0000–0.0548

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0016

1 624.64 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 217.59 ₸ +14.51 ₸ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0016
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 275.74 ₸ +72.66 ₸ per item · on the market 284 · buy 0.0000–0.0018
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 289.74 ₸ +86.66 ₸ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0018

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 089.57 ₸ +650.35 (+31.1%)

≈5% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0301

657.32 ₸

at 657.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 1 212.91 ₸ +555.59 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0430
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 2 075.06 ₸ +1 417.74 ₸ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0197
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 2 583.24 ₸ +1 925.91 ₸ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0430

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0443

1 212.91 ₸

at 1 212.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 657.32 ₸ cheaper by 555.59 ₸ · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0310
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 2 075.06 ₸ +862.15 ₸ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0203
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 2 583.24 ₸ +1 370.33 ₸ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0443

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

1 624.64 ₸

at 203.08

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) — 217.59 ₸ +14.51 ₸ per item · on the market 244 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Factory New) — 275.74 ₸ +72.66 ₸ per item · on the market 284 · buy 0.0000–0.0108
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Factory New) — 289.74 ₸ +86.66 ₸ per item · on the market 160 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 494.88 ₸ −74.57 (−2.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

2 014.94 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Factory New

float up to 0.013173

2 447.36 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

3 898.11 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

2 268.47 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Factory New

float up to 0.012134

1 213.59 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.011764

3 020.05 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.019607

6 057.70 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.010196

10 493.06 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.009803

3 527.21 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

27 865.82 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +183.12 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +604.63 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build