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The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 017.65₸

Invest at least 1 799.99₸

Average return 782.34₸

ROI −56.5%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 1 799.99 ₸, profit at most −1 017.65 ₸

float premium: at least 932 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4814

166.58 ₸

at 166.58

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 203.08 ₸ +36.50 ₸ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 233.96 ₸ +67.37 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.3370
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred) — 437.37 ₸ +270.79 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.4500–0.4814

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3840

336.42 ₸

at 168.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 203.08 ₸ +34.87 ₸ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 233.96 ₸ +65.74 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2688
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 527.07 ₸ +358.86 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3840

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

273.21 ₸

at 39.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) — 40.83 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1631
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 42.52 ₸ +3.49 ₸ per item · on the market 929 · buy 0.1500–0.2102
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +6.13 ₸ per item · on the market 1 353 · buy 0.1500–0.1867

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 776.21 ₸ +6.13 (+0.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 4 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3839

672.85 ₸

at 168.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) — 203.08 ₸ +34.87 ₸ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.1500–0.3800
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Field-Tested) — 233.96 ₸ +65.74 ₸ per item · on the market 176 · buy 0.1500–0.2687
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Well-Worn) — 527.07 ₸ +358.86 ₸ per item · on the market 95 · buy 0.3800–0.3839

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

195.15 ₸

at 39.03

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) — 40.83 ₸ +1.80 ₸ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 42.52 ₸ +3.49 ₸ per item · on the market 929 · buy 0.1500–0.2101
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 45.16 ₸ +6.13 ₸ per item · on the market 1 353 · buy 0.1500–0.1866

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

42.52 ₸

at 42.52

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 49.88 ₸ +7.37 ₸ per item · on the market 1 238 · buy 0.1500–0.1812
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) — 56.30 ₸ +13.78 ₸ per item · on the market 1 159 · buy 0.1500–0.1812
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 81.32 ₸ +38.81 ₸ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.0700–0.1265

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 910.51 ₸ +5.62 (+0.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 82%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

380.23 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Field-Tested

float up to 0.193810

522.18 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

481.97 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

421.79 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Field-Tested

float up to 0.178517

384.90 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

float up to 0.173076

449.80 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.288461

769.75 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

5 831.95 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144230

1 820.24 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.287115

1 010.73 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −106.07 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −22.78 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build