The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3838

36.12 ₴

at 36.12

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Neural Net (Field-Tested) — 46.23 ₴ +10.10 ₴ per item · on the market 361 · buy 0.1500–0.2302
Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 48.07 ₴ +11.95 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.3357
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) — 66.69 ₴ +30.56 ₴ per item · on the market 177 · buy 0.1500–0.1919

Steam

×8

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

338.67 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 48.07 ₴ +5.74 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.2228
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 82.50 ₴ +40.17 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.0975
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 121.73 ₴ +79.40 ₴ per item · on the market 245 · buy 0.0700–0.0812

Steam

×1

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

91.86 ₴

at 91.86

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) — 93.13 ₴ +1.27 ₴ per item · on the market 584 · buy 0.1500–0.1567
XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) — 197.60 ₴ +105.74 ₴ per item · on the market 184 · buy 0.0700–0.1433

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 466.65 ₴ +13.02 (+2.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

254.00 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 48.07 ₴ +5.74 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.2247
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 82.50 ₴ +40.17 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.0996
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 121.73 ₴ +79.40 ₴ per item · on the market 245 · buy 0.0700–0.0830

Steam

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

96.15 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0256
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0307
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0266

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4759

80.21 ₴

at 80.21

if this one runs out, you can take

AUG | Eye of Zapems (Battle-Scarred) — 81.16 ₴ +0.95 ₴ per item · on the market 92 · buy 0.4500–0.4933
XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) — 94.21 ₴ +14.00 ₴ per item · on the market 532 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

×1

AUG | Eye of Zapems

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

91.86 ₴

at 91.86

if this one runs out, you can take

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) — 93.13 ₴ +1.27 ₴ per item · on the market 584 · buy 0.1500–0.1602
XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear) — 197.60 ₴ +105.74 ₴ per item · on the market 184 · buy 0.0700–0.1465

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 522.22 ₴ +0.95 (+0.2%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

232.35 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

1 063.84 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

208.59 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Crakow!

Field-Tested

float up to 0.187499

1 091.19 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

912.51 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −62.44 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7.67 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380472 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 14.00₴ · invest 432.12₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred) instead of AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384481 instead of 0.383804; P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164725 instead of 0.162501
Craft 3387670 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 13.21₴ · invest 458.89₴
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) instead of AUG | Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Well-Worn): float at most 0.384523 instead of 0.383804; P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164861 instead of 0.162501

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build

What you get 5 outcomes

Craft variants

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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build