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Crafts · The Falchion Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₽

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +92.59₽

Invest 526.29₽

Average return 618.88₽

ROI +17.6%

Chance of profit 42%

With float: invest at least 1 212.26 ₽, profit at most −593.37 ₽

float premium: at least 629 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +93.33 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

180.55 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1615
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1130
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1615

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

195.00 ₽

at 65.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +20.94 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 116.88 ₽ +51.88 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0518
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +303.97 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0340

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

68.34 ₽

at 68.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) — 82.40 ₽ +14.06 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0700–0.1218
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 107.14 ₽ +38.80 ₽ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0461
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +51.09 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0410

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

82.40 ₽

at 82.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 107.14 ₽ +24.74 ₽ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0154
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +37.03 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0137
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 456.29 ₽ +373.89 ₽ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1000–0.1205

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 526.29 ₽ +92.59 (+17.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

180.55 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1656
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1159
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1656

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

260.00 ₽

at 65.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +20.94 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0754
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 116.88 ₽ +51.88 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0528
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +303.97 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0347

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

82.40 ₽

at 82.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 107.14 ₽ +24.74 ₽ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0163
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +37.03 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0145
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 456.29 ₽ +373.89 ₽ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1000–0.1218

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 522.95 ₽ +92.63 (+17.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

72.22 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1646
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1152
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1646

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

65.00 ₽

at 65.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +20.94 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 116.88 ₽ +51.88 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0525
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +303.97 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0345

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

178.28 ₽

at 44.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 68.34 ₽ +23.77 ₽ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.1982
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 91.22 ₽ +46.65 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0736
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +74.86 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0654

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

247.20 ₽

at 82.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 107.14 ₽ +24.74 ₽ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0161
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +37.03 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0143
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 456.29 ₽ +373.89 ₽ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1000–0.1214

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 562.70 ₽ +72.71 (+12.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

108.33 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1151
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1645

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

65.00 ₽

at 65.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +20.94 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 116.88 ₽ +51.88 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0525
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +303.97 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0345

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

133.71 ₽

at 44.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 68.34 ₽ +23.77 ₽ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.1981
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 91.22 ₽ +46.65 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0736
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +74.86 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0654

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

247.20 ₽

at 82.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 107.14 ₽ +24.74 ₽ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0161
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +37.03 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0143
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 456.29 ₽ +373.89 ₽ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1000–0.1214

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 554.24 ₽ +77.87 (+14.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

144.44 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1644
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1150
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1644

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

65.00 ₽

at 65.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +20.94 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 116.88 ₽ +51.88 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0525
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +303.97 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0345

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

89.14 ₽

at 44.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) — 68.34 ₽ +23.77 ₽ per item · on the market 263 · buy 0.1500–0.1980
StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Minimal Wear) — 91.22 ₽ +46.65 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0735
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +74.86 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0653

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

247.20 ₽

at 82.40

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) — 107.14 ₽ +24.74 ₽ per item · on the market 88 · buy 0.0000–0.0160
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) — 119.43 ₽ +37.03 ₽ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.0000–0.0142
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) — 456.29 ₽ +373.89 ₽ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.1000–0.1214

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 545.78 ₽ +83.02 (+15.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 16%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

537.00 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

310.88 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.060666

1 865.79 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

627.18 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199499

179.72 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

float up to 0.204999

487.58 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.116666

1 087.10 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.158333

442.65 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.044333

951.19 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 180.55 → 445.96 ₽

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 195.00 → 440.70 ₽

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 68.34 → 147.61 ₽

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 82.40 → 177.98 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.116666567

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.116666, 0.060666, 0.058333, 0.199499, 0.204999, 0.116666, 0.158333, 0.044333

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.41 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +84.19 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3387129 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 103.07₽ · invest 456.52₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested): 6 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163805 instead of 0.161546; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): 2 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074801 instead of 0.074016
Craft 3387344 · The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 89.24₽ · invest 430.93₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162021 instead of 0.161546; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074181 instead of 0.074016
Craft 3387294 · The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 88.76₽ · invest 586.64₽
sells slowly rare inputs

nothing instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 5; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165959 instead of 0.161546; StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075551 instead of 0.074016; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075551 instead of 0.074016

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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