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The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −7 241.23₽

Invest at least 12 737.61₽

Average return 5 496.38₽

ROI −56.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 12 737.61 ₽, profit at most −7 241.23 ₽

float premium: at least 7 105 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +330.72 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

2 721.25 ₽

at 388.75

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 411.65 ₽ +22.90 ₽ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1628
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 769.46 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0521

Steam

×2

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

1 600.26 ₽

at 800.13

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 1 047.15 ₽ +247.02 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0370
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 2 649.28 ₽ +1 849.15 ₽ per item · on the market 1 252 · buy 0.1500–0.1741

Steam

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1 047.15 ₽

at 1 047.15

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 1 120.57 ₽ +73.42 ₽ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0887
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 14 371.32 ₽ +13 324.17 ₽ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1078

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 368.66 ₽ +127.72 (+2.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

1 943.75 ₽

at 388.75

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 411.65 ₽ +22.90 ₽ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1693
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 769.46 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0541

Steam

×4

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1693

3 200.52 ₽

at 800.13

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 1 047.15 ₽ +247.02 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0400
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 2 649.28 ₽ +1 849.15 ₽ per item · on the market 1 252 · buy 0.1500–0.1800

Steam

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

1 047.15 ₽

at 1 047.15

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 1 120.57 ₽ +73.42 ₽ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0931
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 14 371.32 ₽ +13 324.17 ₽ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1117

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6 191.42 ₽ +98.37 (+1.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

2 332.50 ₽

at 388.75

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 411.65 ₽ +22.90 ₽ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.1500–0.1662
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 2 158.21 ₽ +1 769.46 ₽ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0531

Steam

×3

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

2 400.39 ₽

at 800.13

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 1 047.15 ₽ +247.02 ₽ per item · on the market 56 · buy 0.0000–0.0386
AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 2 649.28 ₽ +1 849.15 ₽ per item · on the market 1 252 · buy 0.1500–0.1772

Steam

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

1 047.15 ₽

at 1 047.15

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) — 1 120.57 ₽ +73.42 ₽ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0800–0.0910
AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 14 371.32 ₽ +13 324.17 ₽ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1000–0.1098

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 780.04 ₽ +113.04 (+2.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

5 588.58 ₽ 35.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

4 315.79 ₽ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 949.57 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.294799

10 079.11 ₽ 15.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −508.38 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −50.49 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build