Skip to content

Crafts · The Falchion Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float +30.90$

Invest at least 193.41$

Average return 224.31$

ROI +16.0%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 193.41 $, profit at most +30.90 $

float premium: at least 115 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −69 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3854

8.37 $

at 8.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Well-Worn) — 9.94 $ +1.57 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.3800–0.3854
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Minimal Wear) — 16.21 $ +7.84 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1233

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1677

66.67 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2799
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1016

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.04 $ +149.27 (+198.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −69 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

21.15 $

at 10.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 12.78 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1736
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +16.87 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0555

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1736

59.26 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2862
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1126

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 80.41 $ +132.93 (+165.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −82 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

21.15 $

at 10.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 12.78 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1672
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +16.87 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

78.17 $

at 15.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 22.36 $ +6.73 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +11.81 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

22.22 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2794
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1007

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121.54 $ +36.95 (+30.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

31.72 $

at 10.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 12.78 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1672
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +16.87 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0535

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

51.85 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2793
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1006

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 83.57 $ +118.80 (+142.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −85 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

21.15 $

at 10.57

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) — 12.78 $ +2.20 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.1500–0.1644
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +16.87 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0526

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

93.81 $

at 15.63

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) — 22.36 $ +6.73 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0700–0.0750
StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 27.44 $ +11.81 $ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0240

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1644

14.81 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2763
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0955

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129.77 $ +17.75 (+13.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

87.20 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453.95 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

158.79 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

130.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The Prisma Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +130.80 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +143.03 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3393890 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 161.20$ · invest 73.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −74 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162399 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3398031 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 154.26$ · invest 71.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −69 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164876 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3378004 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 152.12$ · invest 74.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −72 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172159 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3397627 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 152.10$ · invest 72.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −70 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165422 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3392514 · The Glove Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 151.97$ · invest 77.56$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.176265 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3386098 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 151.39$ · invest 72.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170031 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3389054 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 151.17$ · invest 71.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −72 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170284 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3382679 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 150.44$ · invest 70.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −71 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168883 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3391261 · The Gamma Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 150.11$ · invest 77.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −78 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173938 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3398308 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 150.11$ · invest 78.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3379812 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 150.02$ · invest 79.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn)
Craft 3398161 · The Prisma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 148.68$ · invest 81.80$
profit on prices without salesat least −82 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn)
Craft 3384002 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 148.08$ · invest 74.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170284 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3396469 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 147.59$ · invest 83.67$
profit on prices without salesat least −84 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3380977 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 147.18$ · invest 78.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −79 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162402 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3378005 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 146.73$ · invest 74.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −65 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.172440 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3397628 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 146.60$ · invest 72.99$
profit on prices without salesat least −65 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn)
Craft 3382680 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 146.56$ · invest 70.57$
profit on prices without salesat least −68 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173938 instead of 0.167743
Craft 3377065 · The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 146.21$ · invest 86.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −66 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.173295 instead of 0.167743

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

Home Crafts Knives and gloves Chains Calculator Pretty floats Interesting Market Price table Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work