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The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −215.96₽

Invest at least 410.30₽

Average return 194.34₽

ROI −52.6%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 410.30 ₽, profit at most −215.96 ₽

float premium: at least 211 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +111.62 ₽ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

72.22 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1207
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

35.32 ₽

at 8.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) — 9.26 ₽ +0.43 ₽ per item · on the market 811 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 9.34 ₽ +0.51 ₽ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 9.83 ₽ +1.00 ₽ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

70.68 ₽

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 18.33 ₽ +0.66 ₽ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 21.77 ₽ +4.10 ₽ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 24.74 ₽ +7.07 ₽ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0778

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178.22 ₽ +16.12 (+9.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

216.66 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1207
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

70.68 ₽

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 18.33 ₽ +0.66 ₽ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 21.77 ₽ +4.10 ₽ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 24.74 ₽ +7.07 ₽ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0778

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 287.34 ₽ +96.42 (+33.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

180.55 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1207
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

8.83 ₽

at 8.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) — 9.26 ₽ +0.43 ₽ per item · on the market 811 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 9.34 ₽ +0.51 ₽ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 9.83 ₽ +1.00 ₽ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

70.68 ₽

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 18.33 ₽ +0.66 ₽ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 21.77 ₽ +4.10 ₽ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 24.74 ₽ +7.07 ₽ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0778

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 260.06 ₽ +76.34 (+29.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

144.44 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1207
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

17.66 ₽

at 8.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) — 9.26 ₽ +0.43 ₽ per item · on the market 811 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 9.34 ₽ +0.51 ₽ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 9.83 ₽ +1.00 ₽ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

70.68 ₽

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 18.33 ₽ +0.66 ₽ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 21.77 ₽ +4.10 ₽ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 24.74 ₽ +7.07 ₽ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0778

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 232.78 ₽ +56.27 (+24.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

108.33 ₽

at 36.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 39.12 ₽ +3.01 ₽ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 57.42 ₽ +21.31 ₽ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1207
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 179.72 ₽ +143.61 ₽ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1724

26.49 ₽

at 8.83

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) — 9.26 ₽ +0.43 ₽ per item · on the market 811 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Field-Tested) — 9.34 ₽ +0.51 ₽ per item · on the market 522 · buy 0.1500–0.1724
StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Field-Tested) — 9.83 ₽ +1.00 ₽ per item · on the market 564 · buy 0.1500–0.1724

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

70.68 ₽

at 17.67

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear) — 18.33 ₽ +0.66 ₽ per item · on the market 347 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Meow 36 (Minimal Wear) — 21.77 ₽ +4.10 ₽ per item · on the market 357 · buy 0.0700–0.0778
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Poly Mag (Minimal Wear) — 24.74 ₽ +7.07 ₽ per item · on the market 636 · buy 0.0700–0.0778

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 205.50 ₽ +36.19 (+17.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 16%
Losing outcome 84%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

137.68 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

83.84 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094230

102.28 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

136.10 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.094230

112.99 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080769

312.17 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.134615

310.88 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 865.79 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.067307

627.18 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208653

179.72 ₽ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12.70 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12.76 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build