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The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −94.09$

Invest at least 262.37$

Average return 168.28$

ROI −35.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 262.37 $, profit at most −94.09 $

float premium: at least 140 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +59.33 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

63.11 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0241

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

21.99 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

24.41 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0536
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0912

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.51 $ +58.77 (+53.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −98 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

27.05 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0798
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0255

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

43.99 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0027
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

61.02 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0567
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0953

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 132.05 $ +44.09 (+33.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −108 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

18.03 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0789
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0252

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

43.99 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0025
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0078

Steam

×6

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

73.22 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0561
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0945

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 135.24 $ +43.52 (+32.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −118 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

9.02 $

at 9.02

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) — 9.36 $ +0.35 $ per item · on the market 28 · buy 0.0700–0.0781
MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +17.80 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0250

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

43.99 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0022
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×7

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

85.43 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0555
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0937

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 138.43 $ +42.95 (+31.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −128 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

43.99 $

at 21.99

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) — 26.81 $ +4.82 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
SG 553 | Cyrex (Factory New) — 27.02 $ +5.02 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

97.63 $

at 12.20

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 30.64 $ +18.44 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0549
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 34.53 $ +22.33 $ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0930

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 141.62 $ +42.39 (+29.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220.44 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

154.53 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

225.32 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

209.96 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Gamma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +29.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +51.50 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build