The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

254.00 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 48.07 ₴ +5.74 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.2232
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 82.50 ₴ +40.17 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.0979
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 121.73 ₴ +79.40 ₴ per item · on the market 245 · buy 0.0700–0.0816

Steam

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

144.22 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0227
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0273
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0236

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3840

79.02 ₴

at 79.02

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Obsidian (Well-Worn) — 83.62 ₴ +4.59 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3840
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) — 90.88 ₴ +11.85 ₴ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.1500–0.2688
MP7 | Neon Ply (Well-Worn) — 107.80 ₴ +28.78 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.3800–0.3840

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 477.24 ₴ +117.09 (+24.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

336.52 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0247
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0296
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0257

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

237.07 ₴

at 79.02

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Obsidian (Well-Worn) — 83.62 ₴ +4.59 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3846
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) — 90.88 ₴ +11.85 ₴ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.1500–0.2692
MP7 | Neon Ply (Well-Worn) — 107.80 ₴ +28.78 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.3800–0.3846

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 573.58 ₴ +108.66 (+18.9%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

127.00 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 48.07 ₴ +5.74 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.2237
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 82.50 ₴ +40.17 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.0985
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 121.73 ₴ +79.40 ₴ per item · on the market 245 · buy 0.0700–0.0821

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

240.37 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0238
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0286
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0247

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3843

158.04 ₴

at 79.02

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Obsidian (Well-Worn) — 83.62 ₴ +4.59 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3843
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) — 90.88 ₴ +11.85 ₴ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.1500–0.2690
MP7 | Neon Ply (Well-Worn) — 107.80 ₴ +28.78 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.3800–0.3843

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 525.41 ₴ +112.88 (+21.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

42.33 ₴

at 42.33

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 48.07 ₴ +5.74 ₴ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.2237
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 82.50 ₴ +40.17 ₴ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.0985
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 121.73 ₴ +79.40 ₴ per item · on the market 245 · buy 0.0700–0.0821

Steam

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

240.37 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0238
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0286
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0247

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3843

158.04 ₴

at 79.02

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Obsidian (Well-Worn) — 83.62 ₴ +4.59 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3843
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) — 90.88 ₴ +11.85 ₴ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.1500–0.2690
MP7 | Neon Ply (Well-Worn) — 107.80 ₴ +28.78 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.3800–0.3843

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

183.23 ₴

at 91.61

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) — 106.41 ₴ +14.80 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.1500–0.1643
MP7 | Neon Ply (Field-Tested) — 126.97 ₴ +35.35 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.1500–0.1643
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) — 187.09 ₴ +95.48 ₴ per item · on the market 510 · buy 0.1500–0.1643

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 623.98 ₴ +102.22 (+16.4%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

240.37 ₴

at 48.07

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 252.71 ₴ +204.64 ₴ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0238
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 304.26 ₴ +256.18 ₴ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0286
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 381.34 ₴ +333.26 ₴ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0247

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3843

158.04 ₴

at 79.02

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Obsidian (Well-Worn) — 83.62 ₴ +4.59 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3843
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) — 90.88 ₴ +11.85 ₴ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.1500–0.2690
MP7 | Neon Ply (Well-Worn) — 107.80 ₴ +28.78 ₴ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.3800–0.3843

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Embargo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

274.84 ₴

at 91.61

if this one runs out, you can take

P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) — 106.41 ₴ +14.80 ₴ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.1500–0.1643
MP7 | Neon Ply (Field-Tested) — 126.97 ₴ +35.35 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.1500–0.1643
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Field-Tested) — 187.09 ₴ +95.48 ₴ per item · on the market 510 · buy 0.1500–0.1643

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 673.26 ₴ +96.88 (+14.4%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

425.39 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

1 063.84 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

409.60 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Colony IV

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

907.52 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Bloodshot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.208999

907.97 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Decimator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.112499

1 599.64 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +27.14 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +90.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3368418 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 119.28₴ · invest 455.71₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Well-Worn) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Well-Worn)
Craft 3387591 · The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 109.13₴ · invest 462.57₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) instead of PP-Bizon | Embargo (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162723 instead of 0.163225; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162723 instead of 0.163225

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build