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The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +208.27₴

Invest 390.67₴

Average return 598.94₴

ROI +53.3%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 948.56 ₴, profit at most −349.62 ₴

float premium: at least 563 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +230.21 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

73.38 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +11.82 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +29.28 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 208.26 ₴ +171.57 ₴ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

259.07 ₴

at 37.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 40.16 ₴ +3.15 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 58.22 ₴ +21.21 ₴ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 59.05 ₴ +22.04 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

58.22 ₴

at 58.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 59.05 ₴ +0.82 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.36 ₴ +6.14 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 111.75 ₴ +53.53 ₴ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 390.67 ₴ +208.27 (+53.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

36.69 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +11.82 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +29.28 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 208.26 ₴ +171.57 ₴ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

296.08 ₴

at 37.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 40.16 ₴ +3.15 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 58.22 ₴ +21.21 ₴ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 59.05 ₴ +22.04 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

58.22 ₴

at 58.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 59.05 ₴ +0.82 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.36 ₴ +6.14 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 111.75 ₴ +53.53 ₴ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 391.00 ₴ +230.21 (+58.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

110.07 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +11.82 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +29.28 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 208.26 ₴ +171.57 ₴ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

222.06 ₴

at 37.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 40.16 ₴ +3.15 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 58.22 ₴ +21.21 ₴ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 59.05 ₴ +22.04 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

58.22 ₴

at 58.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 59.05 ₴ +0.82 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.36 ₴ +6.14 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 111.75 ₴ +53.53 ₴ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 390.35 ₴ +186.32 (+47.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

220.13 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +11.82 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +29.28 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 208.26 ₴ +171.57 ₴ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

111.03 ₴

at 37.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) — 40.16 ₴ +3.15 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) — 58.22 ₴ +21.21 ₴ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0382
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 59.05 ₴ +22.04 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

58.22 ₴

at 58.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 59.05 ₴ +0.82 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.36 ₴ +6.14 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 111.75 ₴ +53.53 ₴ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 389.39 ₴ +120.49 (+30.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

330.20 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +11.82 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +29.28 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 208.26 ₴ +171.57 ₴ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

58.22 ₴

at 58.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) — 59.05 ₴ +0.82 ₴ per item · on the market 44 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Factory New) — 64.36 ₴ +6.14 ₴ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Factory New) — 111.75 ₴ +53.53 ₴ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 388.42 ₴ +54.66 (+14.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 625.99 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

508.98 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.63 ₴ 16.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

175.42 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

209.96 ₴ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

303.11 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

607.98 ₴ 4.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

1 053.13 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

354.01 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

101.44 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +122.44 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +192.63 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3400443 · The Snakebite Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 171.03₴ · invest 534.25₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074027 instead of 0.076511; StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New): 4 pcs instead of 1; StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New): float at most 0.003524 instead of 0.005697

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build