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The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −563.41₴

Invest at least 1 154.87₴

Average return 591.46₴

ROI −48.8%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 1 154.87 ₴, profit at most −563.41 ₴

float premium: at least 649 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +212.45 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

32.41 ₴

at 32.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 36.69 ₴ +4.28 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0700–0.1061
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +16.10 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.1061
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 152.49 ₴ +120.08 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0849

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

220.13 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +11.82 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0743
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +29.28 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0520
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 208.26 ₴ +171.57 ₴ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0341

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

235.54 ₴

at 78.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 95.11 ₴ +16.59 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0123
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 97.20 ₴ +18.69 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0812
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 99.47 ₴ +20.96 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0226

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 488.09 ₴ +103.37 (+21.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

20.38 ₴

at 20.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.70 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1667
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 32.41 ₴ +12.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1166
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 101.44 ₴ +81.06 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1667

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

73.38 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +11.82 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +29.28 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0530
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 208.26 ₴ +171.57 ₴ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0348

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

549.60 ₴

at 78.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 95.11 ₴ +16.59 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0136
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 97.20 ₴ +18.69 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0834
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 99.47 ₴ +20.96 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0250

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 643.36 ₴ +175.63 (+27.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −52 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

330.20 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +11.82 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +29.28 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0529
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 208.26 ₴ +171.57 ₴ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0347

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

95.11 ₴

at 95.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 99.47 ₴ +4.36 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0090
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Factory New) — 261.30 ₴ +166.19 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0600–0.0656
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Factory New) — 280.29 ₴ +185.18 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 425.31 ₴ +52.39 (+12.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

32.41 ₴

at 32.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 36.69 ₴ +4.28 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0700–0.1079
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +16.10 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.1079
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 152.49 ₴ +120.08 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0863

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

183.44 ₴

at 36.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +11.82 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 65.97 ₴ +29.28 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0528
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 208.26 ₴ +171.57 ₴ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0347

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

314.06 ₴

at 78.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 95.11 ₴ +16.59 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0133
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 97.20 ₴ +18.69 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0830
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 99.47 ₴ +20.96 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0246

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 529.91 ₴ +118.43 (+22.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

20.38 ₴

at 20.38

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) — 22.08 ₴ +1.70 ₴ per item · on the market 170 · buy 0.1500–0.1656
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Minimal Wear) — 32.41 ₴ +12.03 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0700–0.1159
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) — 101.44 ₴ +81.06 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1656

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

32.41 ₴

at 32.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 36.69 ₴ +4.28 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0700–0.1078
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 48.51 ₴ +16.10 ₴ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.1078
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) — 152.49 ₴ +120.08 ₴ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0700–0.0862

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

628.11 ₴

at 78.51

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 95.11 ₴ +16.59 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0133
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 97.20 ₴ +18.69 ₴ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0829
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 99.47 ₴ +20.96 ₴ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0245

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 680.91 ₴ +194.96 (+28.6%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 43%
Losing outcome 57%

at a loss

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

303.11 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

607.98 ₴ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

1 053.13 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

354.01 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

101.44 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

399.42 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 399.61 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 313.17 ₴ 7.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440.11 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.45 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +83.11 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build