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The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 086.82₸

Invest 3 353.43₸

Average return 4 440.26₸

ROI +32.4%

Chance of profit 32%

With float: invest at least 7 922.87 ₸, profit at most −3 482.67 ₸

float premium: at least 4 141 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 564.80 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

551.93 ₸

at 275.97

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 286.20 ₸ +10.24 ₸ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 354.03 ₸ +78.06 ₸ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0535
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 799.16 ₸ +523.19 ₸ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0351

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1 770.13 ₸

at 354.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 669.19 ₸ +315.16 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 799.16 ₸ +445.13 ₸ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 827.95 ₸ +473.93 ₸ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

1 031.37 ₸

at 343.79

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) — 391.14 ₸ +47.35 ₸ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.1500–0.1687
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) — 411.39 ₸ +67.60 ₸ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.1687
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Field-Tested) — 437.37 ₸ +93.58 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1687

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 353.43 ₸ +1 086.82 (+32.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

1 416.10 ₸

at 354.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 669.19 ₸ +315.16 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 799.16 ₸ +445.13 ₸ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 827.95 ₸ +473.93 ₸ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

687.58 ₸

at 343.79

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) — 391.14 ₸ +47.35 ₸ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.1500–0.1733
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) — 411.39 ₸ +67.60 ₸ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.1733
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Field-Tested) — 437.37 ₸ +93.58 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1733

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

2 331.90 ₸

at 582.98

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) — 600.47 ₸ +17.49 ₸ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0700–0.0781
SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) — 635.45 ₸ +52.47 ₸ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0700–0.0781
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 682.07 ₸ +99.09 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0781

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4 435.59 ₸ +1 358.97 (+30.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −362 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

1 103.86 ₸

at 275.97

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 286.20 ₸ +10.24 ₸ per item · on the market 447 · buy 0.0700–0.0781
UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 354.03 ₸ +78.06 ₸ per item · on the market 165 · buy 0.0000–0.0546
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 799.16 ₸ +523.19 ₸ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0359

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

1 416.10 ₸

at 354.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 669.19 ₸ +315.16 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 799.16 ₸ +445.13 ₸ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 827.95 ₸ +473.93 ₸ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1733

687.58 ₸

at 343.79

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) — 391.14 ₸ +47.35 ₸ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.1500–0.1733
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) — 411.39 ₸ +67.60 ₸ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.1733
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Field-Tested) — 437.37 ₸ +93.58 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1733

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 207.55 ₸ +781.22 (+24.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

354.03 ₸

at 354.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 669.19 ₸ +315.16 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 799.16 ₸ +445.13 ₸ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 827.95 ₸ +473.93 ₸ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×9

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

5 246.78 ₸

at 582.98

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) — 600.47 ₸ +17.49 ₸ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) — 635.45 ₸ +52.47 ₸ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 682.07 ₸ +99.09 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0768

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 600.81 ₸ +1 548.10 (+27.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

1 770.13 ₸

at 354.03

if this one runs out, you can take

Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 669.19 ₸ +315.16 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 799.16 ₸ +445.13 ₸ per item · on the market 843 · buy 0.0000–0.0037
P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 827.95 ₸ +473.93 ₸ per item · on the market 144 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Necropos

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

1 031.37 ₸

at 343.79

if this one runs out, you can take

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Field-Tested) — 391.14 ₸ +47.35 ₸ per item · on the market 109 · buy 0.1500–0.1687
Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) — 411.39 ₸ +67.60 ₸ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.1500–0.1687
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Field-Tested) — 437.37 ₸ +93.58 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.1500–0.1687

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

1 165.95 ₸

at 582.98

if this one runs out, you can take

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Minimal Wear) — 600.47 ₸ +17.49 ₸ per item · on the market 97 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) — 635.45 ₸ +52.47 ₸ per item · on the market 153 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
Dual Berettas | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 682.07 ₸ +99.09 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 967.45 ₸ +1 375.67 (+34.7%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 14%

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 925.06 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 217.17 ₸ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

3 667.59 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 476.78 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

457.34 ₸ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

13 669.63 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

5 768.52 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 251.16 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

2 589.99 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

3 422.83 ₸ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +330.57 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +792.52 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build