The Falchion Collection — craft

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1.86 $

at 0.93

if this one runs out, you can take

Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) — 1.06 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 226 · buy 0.1500–0.2234
FAMAS | Neural Net (Minimal Wear) — 1.82 $ +0.88 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.0982
MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) — 2.68 $ +1.75 $ per item · on the market 245 · buy 0.0700–0.0818

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

7.41 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0232
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0278
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0241

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

1.85 $

at 1.85

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) — 2.31 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0700–0.1207
MP7 | Impire (Minimal Wear) — 2.63 $ +0.78 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0700–0.1073
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 2.96 $ +1.11 $ per item · on the market 204 · buy 0.1500–0.2683

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.12 $ +3.25 (+29.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −19 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

3.17 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0268
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0322
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0279

Steam

×6

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

18.34 $

at 3.06

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) — 5.13 $ +2.08 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.1246
MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 5.77 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0561
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) — 7.00 $ +3.95 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.0997

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

5.77 $

at 5.77

if this one runs out, you can take

MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.56 $ +1.79 $ per item · on the market 161 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 12.83 $ +7.06 $ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0071
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.48 $ +25.71 $ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.28 $ +0.67 (+2.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

8.46 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0238
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0286
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0248

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

3.70 $

at 1.85

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) — 2.31 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0700–0.1212
MP7 | Impire (Minimal Wear) — 2.63 $ +0.78 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0700–0.1077
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 2.96 $ +1.11 $ per item · on the market 204 · buy 0.1500–0.2694

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.17 $ +4.47 (+36.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

4.23 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0232
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0278
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0241

Steam

×6

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

18.34 $

at 3.06

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) — 5.13 $ +2.08 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.1225
MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 5.77 $ +2.71 $ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.0000–0.0551
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) — 7.00 $ +3.95 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.0980

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.57 $ +3.12 (+13.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

7.41 $

at 1.06

if this one runs out, you can take

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) — 5.56 $ +4.50 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.0000–0.0229
FAMAS | Neural Net (Factory New) — 6.70 $ +5.64 $ per item · on the market 203 · buy 0.0000–0.0275
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) — 8.39 $ +7.33 $ per item · on the market 406 · buy 0.0000–0.0238

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1634

1.85 $

at 1.85

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Minimal Wear) — 2.31 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0700–0.1205
MP7 | Impire (Minimal Wear) — 2.63 $ +0.78 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0700–0.1071
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 2.96 $ +1.11 $ per item · on the market 204 · buy 0.1500–0.2678

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

4.63 $

at 2.31

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested) — 2.96 $ +0.65 $ per item · on the market 204 · buy 0.1500–0.1659
Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) — 3.06 $ +0.74 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.1012
FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) — 7.00 $ +4.69 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.1327

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.89 $ +5.01 (+36.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

9.36 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.029473

23.41 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

9.02 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.092105

20.91 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70.03 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.055263

28.90 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.56 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build

What you get 6 outcomes

Craft variants

More

The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build