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The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1 477.10₽

Invest 1 974.20₽

Average return 3 451.30₽

ROI +74.8%

Chance of profit 26%

With float: invest at least 4 630.51 ₽, profit at most −1 179.21 ₽

float premium: at least 2 570 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +3 461.28 ₽ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 501 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

65.00 ₽

at 65.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) — 85.94 ₽ +20.94 ₽ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) — 116.88 ₽ +51.88 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0000–0.0520
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +303.97 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0342

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

701.28 ₽

at 116.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 215.67 ₽ +98.79 ₽ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +252.09 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0025
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 459.33 ₽ +342.45 ₽ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0838

1 207.92 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1014
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) — 879.30 ₽ +476.66 ₽ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0027

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 974.20 ₽ +1 477.10 (+74.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 161 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

584.40 ₽

at 116.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 215.67 ₽ +98.79 ₽ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0101
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +252.09 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 459.33 ₽ +342.45 ₽ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0101

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0870

2 013.20 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 605.17 ₽ +202.53 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0724
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1027
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 597.60 ₽ +2 103.91 (+81.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 465 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

467.52 ₽

at 116.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 215.67 ₽ +98.79 ₽ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +252.09 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 459.33 ₽ +342.45 ₽ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0867

2 415.84 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 605.17 ₽ +202.53 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0719
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1025
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 883.36 ₽ +2 443.25 (+84.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 769 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

350.64 ₽

at 116.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 215.67 ₽ +98.79 ₽ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +252.09 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 459.33 ₽ +342.45 ₽ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0864

2 818.48 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 605.17 ₽ +202.53 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0713
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1024
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 169.12 ₽ +2 782.59 (+87.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 072 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

233.76 ₽

at 116.88

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ranger (Factory New) — 215.67 ₽ +98.79 ₽ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0088
StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Factory New) — 368.97 ₽ +252.09 ₽ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Factory New) — 459.33 ₽ +342.45 ₽ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0000–0.0088

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0861

3 221.12 ₽

at 402.64

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 605.17 ₽ +202.53 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0700–0.0708
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 620.95 ₽ +218.31 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.1000–0.1023
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 724.97 ₽ +322.33 ₽ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 454.88 ₽ +3 121.94 (+90.4%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 74%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

537.00 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 077.13 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.007026

1 865.79 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

627.18 ₽ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146891

4 954.87 ₽ 14.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 121.85 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 166.87 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002702

1 102.20 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

889.09 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 725.36 ₽ 6.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Gallery Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 026.20 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 399.32 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build