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The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +728.69₸

Invest 19 073.15₸

Average return 19 801.84₸

ROI +3.8%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest 48 971.45 ₸, profit −29 169.61 ₸

float premium: 27 298 ₸ (125.9%)

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈41

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6248

17 324.11 ₸

at 1 924.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 2 129.61 ₸ +204.71 ₸ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.4500–0.6248
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 2 213.46 ₸ +288.56 ₸ per item · on the market 374 · buy 0.4500–0.6248

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.4022

1 749.04 ₸

at 1 749.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred) — 1 830.59 ₸ +81.55 ₸ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.4500–0.6033
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) — 1 878.39 ₸ +129.35 ₸ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 19 073.15 ₸ +728.69 (+3.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈41, цена занижена

×8

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6037

15 399.21 ₸

at 1 924.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 2 129.61 ₸ +204.71 ₸ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.4500–0.6037
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 2 213.46 ₸ +288.56 ₸ per item · on the market 374 · buy 0.4500–0.6037

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3995

3 498.08 ₸

at 1 749.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred) — 1 830.59 ₸ +81.55 ₸ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.4500–0.5993
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) — 1 878.39 ₸ +129.35 ₸ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 897.29 ₸ +465.55 (+2.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈38, цена занижена

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5786

13 474.31 ₸

at 1 924.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 2 129.61 ₸ +204.71 ₸ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.4500–0.5786
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 2 213.46 ₸ +288.56 ₸ per item · on the market 374 · buy 0.4500–0.5786

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Entombed

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3963

5 247.12 ₸

at 1 749.04

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred) — 1 830.59 ₸ +81.55 ₸ per item · on the market 173 · buy 0.4500–0.5945
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) — 1 878.39 ₸ +129.35 ₸ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 721.43 ₸ +202.46 (+1.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.642857

22 618.53 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.642857

23 935.37 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

18 460.76 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.514285

17 996.50 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 848.47 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −27.50 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388212 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 750.24₸ · invest 19 883.50₸
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.624894
Craft 3388464 · The Fever Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 740.64₸ · invest 22 083.30₸
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Well-Worn); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.541018 instead of 0.624894

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build