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The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.21$

Invest 0.90$

Average return 1.11$

ROI +23.4%

Chance of profit 58%

With float: invest at least 2.19 $, profit at most −1.08 $

float premium: at least 1 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.11 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 0.15 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 0.20 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 780 · buy 0.0700–0.1456

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.60 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 929 · buy 0.1500–0.2084
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 353 · buy 0.1500–0.1851

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

0.19 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 238 · buy 0.1500–0.1797
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 1 159 · buy 0.1500–0.1797
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 0.18 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.0700–0.1255

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.90 $ +0.21 (+23.4%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 1 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3862

0.09 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Well-Worn) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 513 · buy 0.3800–0.3862
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.3476

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

0.65 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.1535
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1706
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 0.15 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1706

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1706

0.26 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1706
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 929 · buy 0.1500–0.2198
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 353 · buy 0.1500–0.1952

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.99 $ +0.10 (+10.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

0.43 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.1531
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1702
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 0.15 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1702

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1702

0.52 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1702
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 929 · buy 0.1500–0.2193
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 353 · buy 0.1500–0.1947

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.95 $ +0.15 (+16.3%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 2 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3851

0.17 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Well-Worn) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 417 · buy 0.3800–0.3851
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Well-Worn) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 513 · buy 0.3800–0.3851
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.3466

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

0.65 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 764 · buy 0.1500–0.1502
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1669
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 0.15 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1669

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1669

0.19 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Field-Tested) — 0.11 $ +0.02 $ per item · on the market 1 238 · buy 0.1500–0.1854
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 1 159 · buy 0.1500–0.1854
StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) — 0.18 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 242 · buy 0.0700–0.1295

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.01 $ +0.09 (+8.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

0.32 $

at 0.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Field-Tested) — 0.12 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 168 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Field-Tested) — 0.15 $ +0.04 $ per item · on the market 604 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear) — 0.20 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 780 · buy 0.0700–0.1481

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

0.60 $

at 0.09

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 1 761 · buy 0.1500–0.1645
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested) — 0.09 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 929 · buy 0.1500–0.2120
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) — 0.10 $ +0.01 $ per item · on the market 1 353 · buy 0.1500–0.1883

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.93 $ +0.18 (+19.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 18%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

0.84 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143973

2.29 $ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

1.06 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

0.93 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.132612

1.27 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.122142

2.06 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Field-Tested

float up to 0.171213

0.82 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

0.83 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Field-Tested

float up to 0.203688

0.80 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.78 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.05 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.16 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3395013 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 0.19$ · invest 0.90$
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build