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The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −4.63$

Invest 47.57$

Average return 42.94$

ROI −9.7%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest 47.57 $, profit −4.63 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈99

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

any lot

38.27 $

at 4.25

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 4.70 $ +0.45 $ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.4500–1.0000
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 4.89 $ +0.64 $ per item · on the market 374 · buy 0.4500–1.0000

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Olympus

Field-Tested

any lot

3.35 $

at 3.35

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred) — 3.46 $ +0.12 $ per item · on the market 467 · buy 0.4500–1.0000
M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested) — 4.52 $ +1.17 $ per item · on the market 2 351 · buy 0.1500–0.3800

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 41.62 $ +1.33 (+3.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.956716

49.96 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.956716

52.87 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Inheritance

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.762834

34.50 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.956716

27.64 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 4 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4.24 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388175 · The Fever Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 44.02$
MAG-7 | Justice (Well-Worn) instead of Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested)
Craft 3388332 · The Fever Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 1.31$ · invest 47.35$
rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Well-Worn) instead of Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.489433 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build