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The Fever Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +16.96₽

Invest 3 764.62₽

Average return 3 781.58₽

ROI +0.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 9 579.38 ₽, profit at most −5 797.80 ₽

float premium: at least 5 357 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 9 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5533

3 080.43 ₽

at 342.27

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 378.67 ₽ +36.40 ₽ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.4500–0.5533
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 393.58 ₽ +51.31 ₽ per item · on the market 374 · buy 0.4500–0.5533

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.5157

684.19 ₽

at 684.19

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) — 1 549.76 ₽ +865.57 ₽ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.4500–0.6447

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 764.62 ₽ +16.96 (+0.5%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 45%

at a loss

worst

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

4 021.84 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.562499

4 255.99 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | B the Monster

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

6 237.99 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 only The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −538.42 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −152.38 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388333 · The Fever Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 18.11₽ · invest 3 790.41₽
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Shapewood (Battle-Scarred) instead of Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.553364

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build