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Crafts · The Fever Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +27.58$

Invest 74.87$

Average return 102.45$

ROI +36.8%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 183.08 $, profit at most −80.63 $

float premium: at least 107 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

49.69 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1627
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1627

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

9.45 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.13 $ +8.67 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.55 $ +10.10 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

15.72 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0370
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1741

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 74.87 $ +27.58 (+36.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

31.06 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1682
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1682

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1682

78.61 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0395
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1790

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.66 $ +0.86 (+0.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

43.48 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1665
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1665

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

9.45 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.13 $ +8.67 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0757
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.55 $ +10.10 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0757

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

31.44 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0387
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1775

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 84.38 $ +20.09 (+23.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −28 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

37.27 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1652
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1652

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

62.89 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0381
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1763

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 100.15 $ +8.35 (+8.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

43.48 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1618
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1618

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

47.16 $

at 15.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New) — 21.85 $ +6.13 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0000–0.0366
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) — 72.80 $ +57.08 $ per item · on the market 147 · buy 0.1500–0.1733

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 90.64 $ +15.84 (+17.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

166.97 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

64.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

71.22 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.302999

206.18 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +22.76 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3377625 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 28.02$ · invest 71.48$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161965 instead of 0.162755; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074162 instead of 0.074436

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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