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Crafts · The Fever Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −3.91$

Invest 104.27$

Average return 100.36$

ROI −3.8%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest 104.27 $, profit −3.91 $

float premium: 3 $ (3.2%)

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +37.05 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈77% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈31

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.1427

85.09 $

at 9.45

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 18.13 $ +8.67 $ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.1427
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 19.55 $ +10.10 $ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.1427

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher

Field-Tested

buy 0.2500–0.3682

12.37 $

at 12.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ cheaper by 4.96 $ · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.2496
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) — 7.98 $ cheaper by 4.39 $ · on the market 47 · buy 0.1500–0.2542

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 97.46 $ +2.89 (+3.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

49.69 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1718
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1718

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1718

14.81 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2843
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1093

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 64.51 $ +35.78 (+55.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

18.63 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1691
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1691

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3858

12.65 $

at 6.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3202
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.3800–0.4444

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

37.04 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2814
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.1042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.32 $ +31.59 (+46.2%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3850

5.66 $

at 5.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Well-Worn) — 7.97 $ +2.31 $ per item · on the market 135 · buy 0.3800–0.3850
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Well-Worn) — 8.06 $ +2.41 $ per item · on the market 50 · buy 0.3800–0.3850

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

18.63 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1667
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1667

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3850

6.32 $

at 6.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ +1.08 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3198
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) — 11.09 $ +4.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.3800–0.4439

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

37.04 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2788
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0997

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 67.65 $ +32.33 (+47.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

31.06 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 9.02 $ +2.80 $ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1663
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 9.32 $ +3.11 $ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1663

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4890

5.92 $

at 5.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 7.41 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.1500–0.3756
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) — 9.94 $ +4.02 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.4500–0.5041

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

29.63 $

at 7.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 12.37 $ +4.96 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.2500–0.2783
StatTrak™ AUG | Momentum (Minimal Wear) — 21.94 $ +14.53 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0700–0.0990

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 66.61 $ +33.45 (+50.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

166.97 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

64.02 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

75.03 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

154.24 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Fever Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12.45 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.24 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388273 · The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 3.11$ · invest 94.51$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.150000 instead of 0.142775

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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