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The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +667.17₸

Invest 18 845.72₸

Average return 19 512.88₸

ROI +3.5%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest 21 581.25 ₸, profit −2 068.37 ₸

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 9 items needed, market lots unknown

×9

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.9999

17 324.11 ₸

at 1 924.90

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) — 2 129.61 ₸ +204.71 ₸ per item · on the market 323 · buy 0.4500–0.9999
AK-47 | Searing Rage (Battle-Scarred) — 2 213.46 ₸ +288.56 ₸ per item · on the market 374 · buy 0.4500–0.9999

Steam

×1

P250 | Visions

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.6999

1 521.61 ₸

at 1 521.61

if this one runs out, you can take

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) — 1 675.93 ₸ +154.32 ₸ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.4500–0.9999
AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) — 2 061.00 ₸ +539.39 ₸ per item · on the market 442 · buy 0.4500–0.7699

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 845.72 ₸ +667.17 (+3.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

22 618.53 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.999999

23 935.37 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.699999

13 755.73 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.849999

16 055.86 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1 861.97 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −73.28 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388330 · The Fever Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 688.88₸ · invest 21 316.98₸
rare inputs pricier variants exist

P90 | Shapewood (Battle-Scarred) instead of P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.562499 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3388300 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 622.53₸ · invest 18 723.28₸
AWP | Duality (Battle-Scarred) instead of P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999
Craft 3382214 · The Clutch Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 621.96₸ · invest 18 916.80₸
rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred) instead of P250 | Visions (Battle-Scarred); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.999999 instead of 0.999999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build