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The Fever Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.27₽

Invest 173.04₽

Average return 177.31₽

ROI +2.5%

Chance of profit 54%

With float: invest at least 426.81 ₽, profit at most −249.50 ₽

float premium: at least 231 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

112.86 ₽

at 12.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 14.27 ₽ +1.73 ₽ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 ₽ +4.95 ₽ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 20.85 ₽ +8.31 ₽ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0762

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

60.18 ₽

at 60.18

if this one runs out, you can take

FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New) — 67.22 ₽ +7.04 ₽ per item · on the market 379 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
SSG 08 | Acid Fade (Factory New) — 68.70 ₽ +8.52 ₽ per item · on the market 3 898 · buy 0.0000–0.0004

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 173.04 ₽ +4.27 (+2.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 46%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

137.95 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

226.83 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

300.91 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

268.61 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

137.84 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M4A1-S | Nitro

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

109.25 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 only The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −23.22 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −3.21 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3377595 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 4.44₽ · invest 158.45₽
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Rising Sun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080221 instead of 0.076256
Craft 3380491 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 4.34₽ · invest 153.66₽
M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New); Nova | Rising Sun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079899 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build