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Crafts · The Fever Collection

prices updated 24.10 13:23 MSK

₴≈

The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −98.83₴

Invest at least 344.51₴

Average return 245.68₴

ROI −28.7%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 344.51 ₴, profit at most −98.83 ₴

float premium: at least 196 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +189.47 ₴ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

27.48 ₴

at 9.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 9.96 ₴ +0.80 ₴ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.97 ₴ +0.81 ₴ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0824
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 20.43 ₴ +11.27 ₴ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0824

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

59.74 ₴

at 9.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.97 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 20.43 ₴ +10.48 ₴ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0742
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 29.91 ₴ +19.95 ₴ per item · on the market 571 · buy 0.0700–0.0742

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

61.32 ₴

at 61.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 91.34 ₴ +30.02 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 91.46 ₴ +30.14 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 114.45 ₴ +53.13 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 148.54 ₴ +97.14 (+65.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −359 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

9.16 ₴

at 9.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 9.96 ₴ +0.80 ₴ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0855
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.97 ₴ +0.81 ₴ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0855
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 20.43 ₴ +11.27 ₴ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0855

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

243.03 ₴

at 40.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 57.34 ₴ +16.84 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0962
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.32 ₴ +20.82 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0481
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 91.34 ₴ +50.83 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0481

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

183.96 ₴

at 61.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 91.34 ₴ +30.02 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 91.46 ₴ +30.14 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0098
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 114.45 ₴ +53.13 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 436.15 ₴ +189.47 (+43.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −309 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

18.32 ₴

at 9.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 9.96 ₴ +0.80 ₴ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0831
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.97 ₴ +0.81 ₴ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0831
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 20.43 ₴ +11.27 ₴ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0831

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

74.51 ₴

at 24.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 36.58 ₴ +11.74 ₴ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0819
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 39.19 ₴ +14.35 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.1638
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) — 40.50 ₴ +15.67 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1310

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

306.61 ₴

at 61.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 91.34 ₴ +30.02 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0042
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 91.46 ₴ +30.14 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 114.45 ₴ +53.13 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 399.43 ₴ +178.69 (+44.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −59 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

69.70 ₴

at 9.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.97 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 20.43 ₴ +10.48 ₴ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 29.91 ₴ +19.95 ₴ per item · on the market 571 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

24.84 ₴

at 24.84

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 36.58 ₴ +11.74 ₴ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.0814
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 39.19 ₴ +14.35 ₴ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.1628
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) — 40.50 ₴ +15.67 ₴ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0700–0.1303

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

122.64 ₴

at 61.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 91.34 ₴ +30.02 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 91.46 ₴ +30.14 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 114.45 ₴ +53.13 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0047

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 217.18 ₴ +123.49 (+56.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −160 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

36.64 ₴

at 9.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear) — 9.96 ₴ +0.80 ₴ per item · on the market 365 · buy 0.0700–0.0827
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.97 ₴ +0.81 ₴ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0827
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 20.43 ₴ +11.27 ₴ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0827

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

9.96 ₴

at 9.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 9.97 ₴ +0.02 ₴ per item · on the market 164 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 20.43 ₴ +10.48 ₴ per item · on the market 138 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 29.91 ₴ +19.95 ₴ per item · on the market 571 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

121.51 ₴

at 40.50

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 57.34 ₴ +16.84 ₴ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0930
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) — 61.32 ₴ +20.82 ₴ per item · on the market 63 · buy 0.0000–0.0465
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 91.34 ₴ +50.83 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0465

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

122.64 ₴

at 61.32

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) — 91.34 ₴ +30.02 ₴ per item · on the market 40 · buy 0.0000–0.0038
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Factory New) — 91.46 ₴ +30.14 ₴ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Factory New) — 114.45 ₴ +53.13 ₴ per item · on the market 62 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 290.76 ₴ +144.89 (+49.8%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

203.05 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

198.59 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

305.39 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

252.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

179.62 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 492.55 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

690.35 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

292.52 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

620.89 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +55.73 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +89.52 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388412 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 97.27₴ · invest 145.45₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 3380492 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 93.10₴ · invest 132.38₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074236 instead of 0.074210; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074236 instead of 0.074210
Craft 3387899 · The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 92.83₴ · invest 141.64₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074210; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074210
Craft 3388127 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 92.31₴ · invest 147.70₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074210; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074137 instead of 0.074210
Craft 3388310 · The Fever Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 90.65₴ · invest 150.20₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 3387952 · The Fever Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 88.08₴ · invest 138.58₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); StatTrak™ P2000 | Sure Grip (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074271 instead of 0.074210; StatTrak™ XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074271 instead of 0.074210

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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