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Crafts · The Fever Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Fever Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −36 901.27₸

Invest at least 86 296.83₸

Average return 49 395.50₸

ROI −42.8%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 86 296.83 ₸, profit at most −36 901.27 ₸

float premium: at least 49 763 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

19 683.34 ₸

at 2 811.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 4 081.11 ₸ +1 269.21 ₸ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 4 217.94 ₸ +1 406.04 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8 560.40 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 8 205.31 ₸ +3 925.11 ₸ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8 851.95 ₸ +4 571.75 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

7 956.39 ₸

at 7 956.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 18 568.35 ₸ +10 611.95 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2174
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 46 217.36 ₸ +38 260.97 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1262

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36 200.14 ₸ +13 195.36 (+36.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 663 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

14 059.53 ₸

at 2 811.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 4 081.11 ₸ +1 269.21 ₸ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 4 217.94 ₸ +1 406.04 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8 560.40 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 8 205.31 ₸ +3 925.11 ₸ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8 851.95 ₸ +4 571.75 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

23 869.18 ₸

at 7 956.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 18 568.35 ₸ +10 611.95 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2174
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 46 217.36 ₸ +38 260.97 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1262

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46 489.11 ₸ +10 766.95 (+23.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 354 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

11 247.63 ₸

at 2 811.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 4 081.11 ₸ +1 269.21 ₸ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 4 217.94 ₸ +1 406.04 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8 560.40 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 8 205.31 ₸ +3 925.11 ₸ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8 851.95 ₸ +4 571.75 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

31 825.57 ₸

at 7 956.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 18 568.35 ₸ +10 611.95 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2174
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 46 217.36 ₸ +38 260.97 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1262

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51 633.60 ₸ +9 552.74 (+18.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 045 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

8 435.72 ₸

at 2 811.91

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Field-Tested) — 4 081.11 ₸ +1 269.21 ₸ per item · on the market 192 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested) — 4 217.94 ₸ +1 406.04 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.1500–0.1683

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8 560.40 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 8 205.31 ₸ +3 925.11 ₸ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8 851.95 ₸ +4 571.75 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

39 781.96 ₸

at 7 956.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 18 568.35 ₸ +10 611.95 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2174
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 46 217.36 ₸ +38 260.97 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1262

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56 778.08 ₸ +8 338.48 (+14.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −63 118 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

8 560.40 ₸

at 4 280.20

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 8 205.31 ₸ +3 925.11 ₸ per item · on the market 96 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 8 851.95 ₸ +4 571.75 ₸ per item · on the market 48 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

63 651.14 ₸

at 7 956.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) — 18 568.35 ₸ +10 611.95 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.1500–0.2174
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Decimator (Minimal Wear) — 46 217.36 ₸ +38 260.97 ₸ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0700–0.1262

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 72 211.54 ₸ +4 695.87 (+6.5%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

75 586.68 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

28 983.41 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

133 066.85 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

61 899.34 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 665.31 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +11 035.94 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388653 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 14 529.86₸ · invest 36 543.25₸
outcome without sales rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170822 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077242 instead of 0.076399
Craft 3387809 · The Fever Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 14 053.81₸ · invest 32 281.72₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.076399
Craft 3383498 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 13 365.50₸ · invest 31 785.47₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074763 instead of 0.076399
Craft 3387919 · The Fever Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 13 289.99₸ · invest 33 176.27₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162182 instead of 0.168399; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074237 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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