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The Fever Collection + The Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +6.90₽

Invest 164.68₽

Average return 171.58₽

ROI +4.2%

Chance of profit 54%

With float: invest at least 408.75 ₽, profit at most −237.18 ₽

float premium: at least 217 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

XM1014 | Mockingbird

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

112.86 ₽

at 12.54

if this one runs out, you can take

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) — 14.27 ₽ +1.73 ₽ per item · on the market 690 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
MP9 | Nexus (Minimal Wear) — 17.49 ₽ +4.95 ₽ per item · on the market 771 · buy 0.0700–0.0762
M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) — 20.85 ₽ +8.31 ₽ per item · on the market 1 815 · buy 0.0700–0.0762

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

51.82 ₽

at 51.82

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Factory New) — 59.08 ₽ +7.26 ₽ per item · on the market 573 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 164.68 ₽ +6.90 (+4.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 46%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.039899

137.95 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Control

Factory New

float up to 0.055929

226.83 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Nova | Rising Sun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

300.91 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

P90 | Wave Breaker

Factory New

float up to 0.066538

268.61 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Tosai

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

137.84 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Tec-9 | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

43.27 ₽ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Train Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 4 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Train Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −20.06 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −0.44 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388537 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6.97₽ · invest 211.85₽
rare inputs

MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New); Nova | Rising Sun: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Wave Breaker: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; XM1014 | Mockingbird (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078307 instead of 0.076256

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build