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Crafts · The Fracture Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Fracture Collection + The Genesis Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −27 237.18₸

Invest at least 136 886.85₸

Average return 109 649.67₸

ROI −19.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 136 886.85 ₸, profit at most −27 237.18 ₸

float premium: at least 77 032 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +55 298.26 ₸ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −56 051 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

29 838.41 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

26 212.44 ₸

at 6 553.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) — 7 500.24 ₸ +947.13 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) — 7 745.49 ₸ +1 192.38 ₸ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.1500–0.1630

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56 050.85 ₸ +53 598.82 (+95.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −104 237 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

14 919.21 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0117
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1764

6 553.11 ₸

at 6 553.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) — 7 500.24 ₸ +947.13 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.1500–0.1764
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) — 7 745.49 ₸ +1 192.38 ₸ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.1500–0.1764

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

82 764.83 ₸

at 13 794.14

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 16 400.10 ₸ +2 605.96 ₸ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0792
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 19 006.56 ₸ +5 212.42 ₸ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0792

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104 237.15 ₸ +49 442.63 (+47.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −88 175 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

19 892.27 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0091
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0094

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

13 106.22 ₸

at 6 553.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) — 7 500.24 ₸ +947.13 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.1500–0.1705
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) — 7 745.49 ₸ +1 192.38 ₸ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.1500–0.1705

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

55 176.56 ₸

at 13 794.14

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 16 400.10 ₸ +2 605.96 ₸ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0771
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 19 006.56 ₸ +5 212.42 ₸ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0771

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 88 175.05 ₸ +50 828.02 (+57.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −46 553 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

10 161.87 ₸

at 3 387.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 4 949.79 ₸ +1 562.50 ₸ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1119
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 5 906.25 ₸ +2 518.96 ₸ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1150

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

29 838.41 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0088

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

6 553.11 ₸

at 6 553.11

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) — 7 500.24 ₸ +947.13 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.1500–0.1692
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) — 7 745.49 ₸ +1 192.38 ₸ per item · on the market 72 · buy 0.1500–0.1692

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46 553.39 ₸ +19 066.18 (+41.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −129 120 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

4 973.07 ₸

at 4 973.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 10 757.73 ₸ +5 784.66 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 11 096.17 ₸ +6 123.10 ₸ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

124 147.25 ₸

at 13 794.14

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 16 400.10 ₸ +2 605.96 ₸ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0765
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 19 006.56 ₸ +5 212.42 ₸ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0765

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129 120.32 ₸ +53 912.86 (+41.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 30%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

35 493.94 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

81 674.58 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

239 982.45 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

214 750.32 ₸ 20.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Genesis Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +42 205.59 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +50 832.64 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Genesis Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3380670 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 50 116.85₸ · invest 82 792.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −82 792 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169393 instead of 0.163068
Craft 3377744 · The CS20 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 47 587.40₸ · invest 70 899.03₸
profit on prices without salesat least −64 650 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.163068
Craft 3382369 · The Clutch Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 44 446.14₸ · invest 59 766.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −59 766 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164495 instead of 0.163068
Craft 3391928 · The Genesis Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 42 288.25₸ · invest 60 816.17₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 066 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168740 instead of 0.163068

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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