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Crafts · The Fracture Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −973.84₸

Invest at least 3 120.72₸

Average return 2 146.93₸

ROI −31.2%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 3 120.72 ₸, profit at most −973.84 ₸

float premium: at least 1 724 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +969.11 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

766.32 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

511.72 ₸

at 511.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 618.69 ₸ +106.97 ₸ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 624.87 ₸ +113.15 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0073
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 905.96 ₸ +394.24 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0073

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 278.04 ₸ +868.90 (+68.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 049 ₸

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

219.61 ₸

at 219.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) — 291.54 ₸ +71.93 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0067
StatTrak™ P250 | Cassette (Factory New) — 308.92 ₸ +89.31 ₸ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Factory New) — 419.77 ₸ +200.16 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

1 853.53 ₸

at 308.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +172.32 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0768
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +196.89 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1097
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 508.12 ₸ +199.20 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1097

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

1 535.16 ₸

at 511.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 618.69 ₸ +106.97 ₸ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 624.87 ₸ +113.15 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 905.96 ₸ +394.24 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 608.31 ₸ +906.91 (+25.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −129 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

170.29 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0746

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

658.84 ₸

at 219.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) — 291.54 ₸ +71.93 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ P250 | Cassette (Factory New) — 308.92 ₸ +89.31 ₸ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Factory New) — 419.77 ₸ +200.16 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

1 544.61 ₸

at 308.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +172.32 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +196.89 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1066
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 508.12 ₸ +199.20 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1066

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 373.75 ₸ +957.30 (+40.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −343 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

170.29 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0745

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

439.23 ₸

at 219.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) — 291.54 ₸ +71.93 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
StatTrak™ P250 | Cassette (Factory New) — 308.92 ₸ +89.31 ₸ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0034
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Factory New) — 419.77 ₸ +200.16 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1 544.61 ₸

at 308.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +172.32 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0745
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +196.89 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1064
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 508.12 ₸ +199.20 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1064

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

511.72 ₸

at 511.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 618.69 ₸ +106.97 ₸ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0036
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 624.87 ₸ +113.15 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0050
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 905.96 ₸ +394.24 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 665.85 ₸ +961.24 (+36.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

510.88 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0744

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

439.23 ₸

at 219.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) — 291.54 ₸ +71.93 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0044
StatTrak™ P250 | Cassette (Factory New) — 308.92 ₸ +89.31 ₸ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0033
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Factory New) — 419.77 ₸ +200.16 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

297.90 ₸

at 297.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) — 308.92 ₸ +11.02 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.0948
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +183.34 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0948
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +207.92 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1354

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

308.92 ₸

at 308.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +172.32 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0744
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +196.89 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1064
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 508.12 ₸ +199.20 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1064

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 556.93 ₸ +885.99 (+56.9%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 18%

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 722.44 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 133.66 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 295.34 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 471.61 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 019.44 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

6 248.46 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 545.99 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 373.33 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5 727.74 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 769.18 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +499.97 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +832.00 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3381522 · The Chroma Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 852.05₸ · invest 1 357.45₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076609
Craft 3389275 · The Fracture Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 790.91₸ · invest 1 146.38₸
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Ripple (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076609
Craft 3389248 · The Fracture Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 784.04₸ · invest 1 045.94₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Factory New); StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076609

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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