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Crafts · The Fracture Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₸≈

The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 354.47₸

Invest at least 2 531.72₸

Average return 1 177.26₸

ROI −53.5%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest at least 2 531.72 ₸, profit at most −1 354.47 ₸

float premium: at least 1 392 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +257.69 ₸ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

84.25 ₸

at 84.25

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) — 85.15 ₸ +0.90 ₸ per item · on the market 523 · buy 0.0700–0.1075
StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Minimal Wear) — 87.11 ₸ +2.87 ₸ per item · on the market 320 · buy 0.0700–0.0849
StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +9.56 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.1075

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

681.17 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0752

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

271.07 ₸

at 271.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Field-Tested) — 271.35 ₸ +0.28 ₸ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.1500–0.1651
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested) — 276.98 ₸ +5.91 ₸ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.1500–0.1651
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) — 297.90 ₸ +26.83 ₸ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0700–0.0908

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 036.49 ₸ +140.77 (+13.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −902 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

439.23 ₸

at 219.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) — 291.54 ₸ +71.93 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ P250 | Cassette (Factory New) — 308.92 ₸ +89.31 ₸ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0040
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Factory New) — 419.77 ₸ +200.16 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

2 471.38 ₸

at 308.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +172.32 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +196.89 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1076
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 508.12 ₸ +199.20 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1076

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 910.61 ₸ +196.33 (+6.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −500 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

340.58 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0752

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

219.61 ₸

at 219.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) — 291.54 ₸ +71.93 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
StatTrak™ P250 | Cassette (Factory New) — 308.92 ₸ +89.31 ₸ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Factory New) — 419.77 ₸ +200.16 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0066

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

297.90 ₸

at 297.90

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear) — 308.92 ₸ +11.02 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.0958
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +183.34 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0958
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +207.92 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1369

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

1 235.69 ₸

at 308.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +172.32 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +196.89 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1075
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 508.12 ₸ +199.20 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 093.79 ₸ +186.15 (+8.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −83 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ P90 | Freight

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

681.17 ₸

at 85.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Minimal Wear) — 93.81 ₸ +8.66 ₸ per item · on the market 555 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Runic (Minimal Wear) — 103.93 ₸ +18.78 ₸ per item · on the market 558 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Minimal Wear) — 124.96 ₸ +39.82 ₸ per item · on the market 312 · buy 0.0700–0.0752

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

271.07 ₸

at 271.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Field-Tested) — 271.35 ₸ +0.28 ₸ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.1500–0.1651
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested) — 276.98 ₸ +5.91 ₸ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.1500–0.1651
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) — 297.90 ₸ +26.83 ₸ per item · on the market 83 · buy 0.0700–0.0908

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

308.92 ₸

at 308.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +172.32 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +196.89 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1075
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 508.12 ₸ +199.20 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1075

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 261.17 ₸ +191.78 (+15.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 056 ₸

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

219.61 ₸

at 219.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Negev | Ultralight (Factory New) — 291.54 ₸ +71.93 ₸ per item · on the market 98 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ P250 | Cassette (Factory New) — 308.92 ₸ +89.31 ₸ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Factory New) — 419.77 ₸ +200.16 ₸ per item · on the market 100 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2 471.38 ₸

at 308.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Minimal Wear) — 481.24 ₸ +172.32 ₸ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Minimal Wear) — 505.82 ₸ +196.89 ₸ per item · on the market 71 · buy 0.0700–0.1075
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear) — 508.12 ₸ +199.20 ₸ per item · on the market 108 · buy 0.0700–0.1075

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

511.72 ₸

at 511.72

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) — 618.69 ₸ +106.97 ₸ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0000–0.0041
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Factory New) — 624.87 ₸ +113.15 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ MP9 | Capillary (Factory New) — 905.96 ₸ +394.24 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 202.71 ₸ +179.91 (+5.6%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 722.44 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

587.93 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

836.45 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 471.61 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

565.60 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

6 248.46 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2 168.70 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

4 373.33 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 727.74 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2 517.04 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −71.03 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +127.66 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3389223 · The Fracture Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 139.66₸ · invest 949.88₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested)
Craft 3388779 · The Fracture Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 138.40₸ · invest 985.42₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Sand Scale (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075102 instead of 0.075282; StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075102 instead of 0.075282
Craft 3388728 · The Fracture Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 132.48₸ · invest 905.96₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested)
Craft 3389250 · The Fracture Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 129.54₸ · invest 846.06₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested)
Craft 3389010 · The Fracture Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 127.26₸ · invest 845.16₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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