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The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6 010.01₽

Invest at least 14 049.34₽

Average return 8 039.32₽

ROI −42.8%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 14 049.34 ₽, profit at most −6 010.01 ₽

float premium: at least 8 402 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4 114.92 ₽ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 368 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

471.12 ₽

at 471.12

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 516.00 ₽ +44.88 ₽ per item · on the market 530 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) — 602.30 ₽ +131.18 ₽ per item · on the market 293 · buy 0.0000–0.0512

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

3 613.80 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 942.57 ₽ +340.27 ₽ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 128.93 ₽ +526.63 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

1 752.69 ₽

at 584.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 1 408.06 ₽ +823.83 ₽ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1165
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 1 536.87 ₽ +952.64 ₽ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1748

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 837.61 ₽ +2 201.71 (+37.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 923 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈7, цена занижена

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

2 409.20 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 942.57 ₽ +340.27 ₽ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0120
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 128.93 ₽ +526.63 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0117

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1763

584.23 ₽

at 584.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 1 408.06 ₽ +823.83 ₽ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1254
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 1 536.87 ₽ +952.64 ₽ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1865

Steam

×5

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

4 911.80 ₽

at 982.36

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 2 466.55 ₽ +1 484.19 ₽ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0562
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 2 779.47 ₽ +1 797.11 ₽ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0947

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 905.23 ₽ +3 217.54 (+40.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 649 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈6, цена занижена

×5

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

3 011.50 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 942.57 ₽ +340.27 ₽ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 128.93 ₽ +526.63 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1707

1 168.46 ₽

at 584.23

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 1 408.06 ₽ +823.83 ₽ per item · on the market 53 · buy 0.0700–0.1214
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 1 536.87 ₽ +952.64 ₽ per item · on the market 634 · buy 0.1500–0.1812

Steam

×3

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

2 947.08 ₽

at 982.36

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 2 466.55 ₽ +1 484.19 ₽ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0549
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 2 779.47 ₽ +1 797.11 ₽ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0929

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 127.04 ₽ +2 967.91 (+41.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 432 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

602.30 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 942.57 ₽ +340.27 ₽ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 128.93 ₽ +526.63 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0082

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

7 858.88 ₽

at 982.36

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 2 466.55 ₽ +1 484.19 ₽ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0543
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 2 779.47 ₽ +1 797.11 ₽ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0922

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2 466.55 ₽

at 2 466.55

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 3 728.45 ₽ +1 261.90 ₽ per item · on the market 14 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 11 272.54 ₽ +8 805.99 ₽ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0200–0.0275

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 927.73 ₽ +3 278.49 (+30.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 072 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈5, цена занижена

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

1 204.60 ₽

at 602.30

if this one runs out, you can take

Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 942.57 ₽ +340.27 ₽ per item · on the market 290 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 128.93 ₽ +526.63 ₽ per item · on the market 273 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×8

G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

7 858.88 ₽

at 982.36

if this one runs out, you can take

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 2 466.55 ₽ +1 484.19 ₽ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0000–0.0542
AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 2 779.47 ₽ +1 797.11 ₽ per item · on the market 206 · buy 0.0700–0.0920

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9 063.48 ₽ +4 114.92 (+45.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 35%

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 585.00 ₽ 35.00%

Steam

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

6 813.52 ₽ 35.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 137.54 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 900.73 ₽ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Gallery Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +902.92 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 745.49 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build