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Crafts · The Fracture Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

₴≈

The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −3 074.64₴

Invest at least 16 920.59₴

Average return 13 845.95₴

ROI −18.2%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 16 920.59 ₴, profit at most −3 074.64 ₴

float premium: at least 9 364 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +7 726.84 ₴ по средним

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −2 362.91 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

3 493.84 ₴

at 499.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 079.70 ₴ +580.58 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 113.66 ₴ +614.54 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 544.82 ₴

at 1 181.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 443.10 ₴ +2 261.49 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0573
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 544.57 ₴ +3 362.96 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0382

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 038.66 ₴ +6 807.29 (+96.7%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

499.12 ₴

at 499.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 079.70 ₴ +580.58 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0124
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 113.66 ₴ +614.54 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0128

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

3 544.82 ₴

at 1 181.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 443.10 ₴ +2 261.49 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0598
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 544.57 ₴ +3 362.96 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0398

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

19 541.34 ₴

at 3 256.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 443.10 ₴ +186.21 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 544.57 ₴ +1 287.68 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23 585.28 ₴ +7 726.84 (+32.8%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

998.24 ₴

at 499.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 079.70 ₴ +580.58 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0114
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 113.66 ₴ +614.54 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0117

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

3 544.82 ₴

at 1 181.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 443.10 ₴ +2 261.49 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0592
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 544.57 ₴ +3 362.96 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0394

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

16 284.45 ₴

at 3 256.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 443.10 ₴ +186.21 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 544.57 ₴ +1 287.68 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20 827.51 ₴ +7 573.58 (+36.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 044 ₴

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

4 492.08 ₴

at 499.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 079.70 ₴ +580.58 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0108
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 113.66 ₴ +614.54 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1743

608.54 ₴

at 608.54

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 1 436.14 ₴ +827.60 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1307
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 2 043.50 ₴ +1 434.96 ₴ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0871

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 100.63 ₴ +2 923.26 (+57.3%)

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

1 497.36 ₴

at 499.12

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 1 079.70 ₴ +580.58 ₴ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0106
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 1 113.66 ₴ +614.54 ₴ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0109

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

3 544.82 ₴

at 1 181.61

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 443.10 ₴ +2 261.49 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0587
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 544.57 ₴ +3 362.96 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0391

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

13 027.56 ₴

at 3 256.89

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 3 443.10 ₴ +186.21 ₴ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 4 544.57 ₴ +1 287.68 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0036

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 069.74 ₴ +7 420.32 (+41.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 50%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.021538

3 562.34 ₴ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.024615

8 197.25 ₴ 35.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 382.30 ₴ 15.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

8 408.40 ₴ 15.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 061.00 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 651.54 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3395359 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 695.37₴ · invest 9 116.27₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078045 instead of 0.076405
Craft 3381304 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 267.71₴ · invest 10 385.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 215 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078917 instead of 0.076405
Craft 3398949 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 532.74₴ · invest 8 129.33₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078314 instead of 0.076405
Craft 3378267 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 103.40₴ · invest 8 777.27₴
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075334 instead of 0.076405
Craft 3387654 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 6 021.00₴ · invest 12 273.40₴
profit on prices without salesat least −3 103 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074412 instead of 0.076405

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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