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Crafts · The Fracture Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +20.36$

Invest 98.25$

Average return 118.61$

ROI +20.7%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 235.38 $, profit at most −116.77 $

float premium: at least 127 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +21.04 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −98 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0784

29.93 $

at 7.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 10.93 $ +3.45 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1144
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 13.05 $ +5.56 $ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1176

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

54.93 $

at 10.99

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 23.76 $ +12.78 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0107
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 24.51 $ +13.53 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1741

13.39 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1306
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0870

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98.25 $ +20.36 (+20.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −104 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

22.45 $

at 7.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 10.93 $ +3.45 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1132
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 13.05 $ +5.56 $ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1163

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

54.93 $

at 10.99

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 23.76 $ +12.78 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0096
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 24.51 $ +13.53 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1717

26.79 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1288
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0858

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.16 $ +20.53 (+19.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −110 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

14.96 $

at 7.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 10.93 $ +3.45 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1121
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 13.05 $ +5.56 $ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1151

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

54.93 $

at 10.99

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 23.76 $ +12.78 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 24.51 $ +13.53 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0089

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1695

40.18 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1271
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0847

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 110.07 $ +20.70 (+18.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −116 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

7.48 $

at 7.48

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 10.93 $ +3.45 $ per item · on the market 74 · buy 0.0700–0.1110
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 13.05 $ +5.56 $ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.0700–0.1141

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

54.93 $

at 10.99

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 23.76 $ +12.78 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0077
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 24.51 $ +13.53 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0079

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

53.57 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1255
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0837

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 115.98 $ +20.87 (+18.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −122 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

54.93 $

at 10.99

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) — 23.76 $ +12.78 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New) — 24.51 $ +13.53 $ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0000–0.0070

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

66.97 $

at 13.39

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) — 31.61 $ +18.21 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.1241
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Minimal Wear) — 44.98 $ +31.58 $ per item · on the market 17 · buy 0.0700–0.0827

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121.89 $ +21.04 (+17.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

78.40 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

180.42 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106874

213.60 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

185.06 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +16.39 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3388722 · The Fracture Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 21.39$ · invest 95.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −86 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)
Craft 3389271 · The Fracture Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 20.18$ · invest 96.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −96 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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