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Crafts · The Gallery Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Gallery Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +22.04$

Invest 55.05$

Average return 77.09$

ROI +40.0%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 140.58 $, profit at most −63.49 $

float premium: at least 84 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +23.91 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1721

8.92 $

at 8.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.26 $ +2.34 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2152
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 17.97 $ +9.05 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.1500–0.1936

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1721

46.13 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1205
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1325

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.05 $ +22.04 (+40.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

17.84 $

at 8.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.26 $ +2.34 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2100
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 17.97 $ +9.05 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.1500–0.1890

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

41.00 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1176
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1294

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.84 $ +22.98 (+39.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

26.76 $

at 8.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.26 $ +2.34 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2051
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 17.97 $ +9.05 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.1500–0.1846

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

35.88 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1149
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1264

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 62.64 $ +23.91 (+38.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −25 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

26.76 $

at 8.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.26 $ +2.34 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2051
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 17.97 $ +9.05 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.1500–0.1846

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

11.26 $

at 11.26

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) — 20.50 $ +9.24 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.0700–0.1313
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) — 31.82 $ +20.56 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1477

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

30.75 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1149
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1264

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 68.77 $ +22.50 (+32.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

44.60 $

at 8.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) — 11.26 $ +2.34 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.1500–0.2022
StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested) — 17.97 $ +9.05 $ per item · on the market 61 · buy 0.1500–0.1820

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

20.50 $

at 5.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 8.66 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 41 · buy 0.0700–0.1132
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +14.88 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.1246

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

8.66 $

at 8.66

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) — 9.42 $ +0.76 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0700–0.1058
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 20.00 $ +11.34 $ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.0700–0.0815

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.76 $ +22.25 (+30.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.123529

31.43 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Printstream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

135.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128910

82.17 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Vaporwave

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.105409

193.04 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gallery Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 only The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.69 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +17.82 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3393941 · The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 21.45$ · invest 55.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested)
Craft 3395042 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 20.64$ · invest 52.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168186 instead of 0.172166
Craft 3378044 · The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 20.64$ · invest 53.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164091 instead of 0.172166
Craft 3392556 · The Glove Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 20.36$ · invest 57.02$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170777 instead of 0.172166
Craft 3391303 · The Gamma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 20.27$ · invest 56.98$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166681 instead of 0.172166

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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