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Crafts · The Gamma 2 Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.29$

Invest 2.20$

Average return 2.49$

ROI +13.4%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 5.36 $, profit at most −2.86 $

float premium: at least 3 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.42 $

at 0.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 1.00 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0343

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1.41 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) — 0.40 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0700–0.1347
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.1010

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.37 $

at 0.37

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) — 0.37 $ +0.00 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) — 0.78 $ +0.42 $ per item · on the market 89 · buy 0.0000–0.0458
StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Factory New) — 1.33 $ +0.97 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.0000–0.0611

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.20 $ +0.29 (+13.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.85 $

at 0.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 1.00 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0343

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1.41 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) — 0.40 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0700–0.1347
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.1010

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.25 $ +0.23 (+10.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

0.24 $

at 0.24

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Field-Tested) — 0.43 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) — 0.45 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 204 · buy 0.1500–0.1926

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.85 $

at 0.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 1.00 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0343

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1.23 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) — 0.40 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0700–0.1347
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.1010

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.31 $ +0.15 (+6.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

0.47 $

at 0.24

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Field-Tested) — 0.43 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) — 0.45 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 204 · buy 0.1500–0.1926

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.85 $

at 0.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 1.00 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0343

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

1.06 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) — 0.40 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0700–0.1347
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.1010

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.37 $ +0.08 (+3.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

0.71 $

at 0.24

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 0.26 $ +0.03 $ per item · on the market 136 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Field-Tested) — 0.43 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 196 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) — 0.45 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 204 · buy 0.1500–0.1926

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.85 $

at 0.42

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Minimal Wear) — 0.59 $ +0.16 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Minimal Wear) — 0.88 $ +0.46 $ per item · on the market 129 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Ventilator (Factory New) — 1.00 $ +0.58 $ per item · on the market 82 · buy 0.0000–0.0343

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

0.88 $

at 0.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested) — 0.23 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.1500–0.1683
StatTrak™ AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) — 0.40 $ +0.22 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy 0.0700–0.1347
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Minimal Wear) — 0.41 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 115 · buy 0.0700–0.1010

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.43 $ +0.00 (+0.2%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 18%

about break-even

StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.50 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1.32 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.02 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.78 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.107999

5.80 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Directive

Field-Tested

float up to 0.200999

2.30 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3.94 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.065999

3.04 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Powercore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.30 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2.05 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma 2 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Prisma 2 Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.13 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma 2 Collection and The Prisma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3397816 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 0.29$ · invest 2.14$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Morris (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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