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The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −34.31$

Invest at least 103.27$

Average return 68.97$

ROI −33.2%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 103.27 $, profit at most −34.31 $

float premium: at least 59 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +37.19 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is +8.87 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

21.26 $

at 3.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New) — 6.57 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0104
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New) — 8.05 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0104
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) — 13.23 $ +10.19 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0000–0.0104

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

21.70 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0016
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0041

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 42.97 $ +26.00 (+60.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −29 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×9

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

27.34 $

at 3.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New) — 6.57 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0125
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New) — 8.05 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0125
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear) — 8.15 $ +5.11 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0718

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

7.23 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0044

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 34.57 $ +14.80 (+42.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

24.30 $

at 3.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New) — 6.57 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0115
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New) — 8.05 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0115
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Directive (Minimal Wear) — 8.15 $ +5.11 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0700–0.0708

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

14.47 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0758
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0017
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.77 $ +20.40 (+52.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

18.22 $

at 3.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New) — 6.57 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New) — 8.05 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0093
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) — 13.23 $ +10.19 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0000–0.0093

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

28.94 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0746
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0039

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 47.16 $ +31.60 (+67.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

15.19 $

at 3.04

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Triarch (Factory New) — 6.57 $ +3.53 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Powercore (Factory New) — 8.05 $ +5.01 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New) — 13.23 $ +10.19 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

36.17 $

at 7.23

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) — 7.91 $ +0.67 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0740
StatTrak™ MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) — 11.05 $ +3.81 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0000–0.0015
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 15.70 $ +8.46 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0037

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.36 $ +37.19 (+72.4%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

29.44 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Airlock

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

34.71 $ 23.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

72.40 $ 23.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AUG | Bengal Tiger

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

140.05 $ 7.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

158.17 $ 7.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera

Factory New

float up to 0.063243

71.85 $ 7.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Nova | Bloomstick

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

233.00 $ 7.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Recoil Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +18.81 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.74 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma 2 Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3400617 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 25.28$ · invest 50.33$
profit on prices without salesat least −14 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075727 instead of 0.075262
Craft 3395440 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 22.26$ · invest 49.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New); StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075837 instead of 0.075262

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build