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The Gamma Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.76$

Invest 7.57$

Average return 12.33$

ROI +62.8%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 17.97 $, profit at most −5.65 $

float premium: at least 10 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +5.00 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈2, цена занижена

×5

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

2.51 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 0.58 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 270 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 1.40 $ +0.90 $ per item · on the market 407 · buy 0.0000–0.0039
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 2.50 $ +2.00 $ per item · on the market 318 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

0.95 $

at 0.95

if this one runs out, you can take

M249 | Deep Relief (Field-Tested) — 1.00 $ +0.05 $ per item · on the market 99 · buy 0.1500–0.1630
P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Minimal Wear) — 1.03 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0978
MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Field-Tested) — 1.04 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.1500–0.1630

Steam

×4

P90 | Cocoa Rampage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

4.11 $

at 1.03

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear) — 1.29 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.0869
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear) — 1.47 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0994
CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Minimal Wear) — 1.51 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.1242

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.57 $ +4.76 (+62.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

0.50 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 0.58 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 270 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 1.40 $ +0.90 $ per item · on the market 407 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 2.50 $ +2.00 $ per item · on the market 318 · buy 0.0000–0.0089

Steam

×5

P90 | Cocoa Rampage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0773

5.13 $

at 1.03

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear) — 1.29 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.0902
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear) — 1.47 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.1031
CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Minimal Wear) — 1.51 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.1288

Steam

×4

P90 | Cocoa Rampage

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

8.29 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Factory New) — 2.46 $ +0.39 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0085
M249 | Deep Relief (Factory New) — 3.36 $ +1.29 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0000–0.0106
MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) — 3.72 $ +1.65 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.93 $ +4.97 (+35.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4, цена занижена

×2

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

1.00 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 0.58 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 270 · buy 0.0000–0.0075
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 1.40 $ +0.90 $ per item · on the market 407 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 2.50 $ +2.00 $ per item · on the market 318 · buy 0.0000–0.0088

Steam

×5

P90 | Cocoa Rampage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

5.13 $

at 1.03

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear) — 1.29 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.0900
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear) — 1.47 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.1029
CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Minimal Wear) — 1.51 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.1286

Steam

×3

P90 | Cocoa Rampage

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

6.22 $

at 2.07

if this one runs out, you can take

G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Factory New) — 2.46 $ +0.39 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
M249 | Deep Relief (Factory New) — 3.36 $ +1.29 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy 0.0000–0.0104
MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Factory New) — 3.72 $ +1.65 $ per item · on the market 77 · buy 0.0000–0.0104

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.36 $ +4.90 (+39.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×4

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

2.01 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 0.58 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 270 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 1.40 $ +0.90 $ per item · on the market 407 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 2.50 $ +2.00 $ per item · on the market 318 · buy 0.0000–0.0072

Steam

×4

P90 | Cocoa Rampage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

4.11 $

at 1.03

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear) — 1.29 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.0886
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear) — 1.47 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.1012
CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Minimal Wear) — 1.51 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.1265

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

3.01 $

at 1.51

if this one runs out, you can take

MP5-SD | Condition Zero (Minimal Wear) — 1.64 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
M249 | Deep Relief (Minimal Wear) — 1.74 $ +0.23 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0700–0.0759
Galil AR | Vandal (Minimal Wear) — 1.75 $ +0.24 $ per item · on the market 66 · buy 0.0700–0.0759

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.13 $ +4.84 (+53.0%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈3, цена занижена

×7

Nova | Exo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

3.51 $

at 0.50

if this one runs out, you can take

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) — 0.58 $ +0.07 $ per item · on the market 270 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New) — 1.40 $ +0.90 $ per item · on the market 407 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) — 2.50 $ +2.00 $ per item · on the market 318 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

×1

MP5-SD | Condition Zero

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

0.71 $

at 0.71

if this one runs out, you can take

Galil AR | Vandal (Well-Worn) — 0.86 $ +0.15 $ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3846
P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Field-Tested) — 0.90 $ +0.19 $ per item · on the market 124 · buy 0.1500–0.2307
CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Well-Worn) — 0.92 $ +0.21 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.3800–0.3846

Steam

×2

P90 | Cocoa Rampage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2.05 $

at 1.03

if this one runs out, you can take

P250 | Contaminant (Minimal Wear) — 1.29 $ +0.26 $ per item · on the market 34 · buy 0.0700–0.0878
G3SG1 | Digital Mesh (Minimal Wear) — 1.47 $ +0.44 $ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.1003
CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Minimal Wear) — 1.51 $ +0.48 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.1254

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.28 $ +2.76 (+44.0%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

AUG | Aristocrat

Factory New

float up to 0.046199

4.25 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Phobos

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

5.52 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Chopper

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2.85 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

R8 Revolver | Reboot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.55 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Limelight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4.49 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Exoskeleton

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38.34 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Dual Berettas | Dezastre

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.13 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Clear Polymer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21.32 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Parallax

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18.89 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

18.40 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gamma Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Gamma Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Gamma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.78 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gamma Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3381699 · The Chroma Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 4.97$ · invest 9.64$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New)
Craft 3376967 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 4.43$ · invest 7.68$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Nova | Exo (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161698 instead of 0.163097; P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074069 instead of 0.074555

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gamma Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build