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Crafts · The Genesis Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

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The Genesis Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +78.94$

Invest 370.00$

Average return 448.95$

ROI +21.3%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 904.03 $, profit at most −455.08 $

float premium: at least 497 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −370 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

243.77 $

at 30.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 36.23 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0769
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 41.98 $ +11.51 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0769

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

65.22 $

at 65.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 88.03 $ +22.81 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0060
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) — 93.73 $ +28.51 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

61.02 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0890
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0549

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 370.00 $ +78.94 (+21.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −401 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

213.29 $

at 30.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 36.23 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0767
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 41.98 $ +11.51 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0767

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

65.22 $

at 65.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 88.03 $ +22.81 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) — 93.73 $ +28.51 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

122.04 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0889
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0548

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 400.55 $ +60.61 (+15.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −431 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

182.82 $

at 30.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 36.23 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0766
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 41.98 $ +11.51 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0766

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

65.22 $

at 65.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 88.03 $ +22.81 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) — 93.73 $ +28.51 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

183.06 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0887
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0547

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 431.10 $ +42.28 (+9.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −462 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

152.35 $

at 30.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 36.23 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0764
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 41.98 $ +11.51 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0764

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

65.22 $

at 65.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 88.03 $ +22.81 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0056
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) — 93.73 $ +28.51 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

244.08 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0886
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0546

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 461.65 $ +23.95 (+5.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −492 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

121.88 $

at 30.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 36.23 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0763
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 41.98 $ +11.51 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0763

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

65.22 $

at 65.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 88.03 $ +22.81 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0055
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) — 93.73 $ +28.51 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

305.09 $

at 61.02

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) — 82.25 $ +21.23 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0700–0.0885
StatTrak™ USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) — 165.67 $ +104.65 $ per item · on the market 6 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 492.20 $ +5.62 (+1.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

530.11 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

474.37 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

217.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

1 068.46 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +40.23 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +69.58 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3391794 · The Genesis Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 79.81$ · invest 344.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −344 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076929; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.006063
Craft 3392204 · The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 72.80$ · invest 352.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −324 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076929; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New): float at most 0.006202 instead of 0.006063

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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