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The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 197.39₸

Invest at least 2 281.35₸

Average return 1 083.96₸

ROI −52.5%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 2 281.35 ₸, profit at most −1 197.39 ₸

float premium: at least 1 196 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4865

476.46 ₸

at 79.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 80.87 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4865
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 80.87 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.4500–0.4865
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Battle-Scarred) — 83.29 ₸ +3.88 ₸ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.4500–0.4865

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

331.02 ₸

at 110.34

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 114.56 ₸ +4.22 ₸ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.1500–0.1652
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 119.73 ₸ +9.39 ₸ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1652
StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) — 124.96 ₸ +14.62 ₸ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.1500–0.1652

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

156.18 ₸

at 156.18

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Field-Tested) — 157.36 ₸ +1.18 ₸ per item · on the market 69 · buy 0.1500–0.3077
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Field-Tested) — 179.97 ₸ +23.79 ₸ per item · on the market 68 · buy 0.1500–0.1923
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Field-Tested) — 220.01 ₸ +63.83 ₸ per item · on the market 75 · buy 0.1500–0.1923

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 963.66 ₸ +120.30 (+12.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4932

476.46 ₸

at 79.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 80.87 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4932
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 80.87 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.4500–0.4932
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Battle-Scarred) — 83.29 ₸ +3.88 ₸ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.4500–0.4932

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

629.43 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2101
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1050
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2101

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 105.89 ₸ +41.28 (+3.7%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 3 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×3

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4873

238.23 ₸

at 79.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 80.87 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4873
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 80.87 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.4500–0.4873
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Battle-Scarred) — 83.29 ₸ +3.88 ₸ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.4500–0.4873

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3847

455.82 ₸

at 91.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) — 93.36 ₸ +2.19 ₸ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Well-Worn) — 93.41 ₸ +2.25 ₸ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.3800–0.3847
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) — 94.26 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.3800–0.3847

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

314.71 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2070
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1035
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2070

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 008.76 ₸ +96.28 (+9.5%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 5 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4833

397.05 ₸

at 79.41

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 80.87 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4833
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 80.87 ₸ +1.46 ₸ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.4500–0.4833
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Battle-Scarred) — 83.29 ₸ +3.88 ₸ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.4500–0.4833

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3842

182.33 ₸

at 91.16

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) — 93.36 ₸ +2.19 ₸ per item · on the market 128 · buy 0.3800–0.3842
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Well-Worn) — 93.41 ₸ +2.25 ₸ per item · on the market 225 · buy 0.3800–0.3842
StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Well-Worn) — 94.26 ₸ +3.09 ₸ per item · on the market 142 · buy 0.3800–0.3842

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

472.07 ₸

at 157.36

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Field-Tested) — 247.45 ₸ +90.10 ₸ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.1500–0.2049
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) — 364.43 ₸ +207.07 ₸ per item · on the market 67 · buy 0.0700–0.1024
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) — 390.47 ₸ +233.11 ₸ per item · on the market 64 · buy 0.1500–0.2049

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 051.45 ₸ +74.69 (+7.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 26%
Losing outcome 72%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

731.11 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

3 111.66 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

796.57 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

793.03 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

679.37 ₸ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Stone Cold

Field-Tested

float up to 0.341999

2 191.53 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

1 304.08 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ MP7 | Special Delivery

Field-Tested

float up to 0.235599

1 122.93 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Wingshot

Field-Tested

float up to 0.341999

1 240.02 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −39.87 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +88.63 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3377725 · The CS20 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 118.02₸ · invest 886.72₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn)
Craft 3392187 · The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 114.59₸ · invest 1 033.56₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479802 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162462 instead of 0.165295
Craft 3391866 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 113.89₸ · invest 948.03₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479802 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162462 instead of 0.165295
Craft 3387059 · The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 113.84₸ · invest 975.69₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn)
Craft 3391867 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 110.73₸ · invest 948.03₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn)
Craft 3390996 · The Gamma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 109.44₸ · invest 948.03₸
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.508649 instead of 0.486576; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174526 instead of 0.165295

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build