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The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +11.50₴

Invest 103.73₴

Average return 115.24₴

ROI +11.1%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 244.12 ₴, profit at most −128.89 ₴

float premium: at least 131 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 6 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×6

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4798

47.82 ₴

at 7.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 8.12 ₴ +0.15 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4798
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 8.12 ₴ +0.15 ₴ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.4500–0.4798
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Battle-Scarred) — 8.36 ₴ +0.39 ₴ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.4500–0.4798

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

33.22 ₴

at 11.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 11.50 ₴ +0.42 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.1500–0.1624
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 12.02 ₴ +0.94 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1624
StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) — 12.54 ₴ +1.47 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.1500–0.1624

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3837

22.69 ₴

at 22.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn) — 28.74 ₴ +6.05 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3837
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) — 29.00 ₴ +6.31 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.3800–0.3837
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cartel (Well-Worn) — 35.01 ₴ +12.32 ₴ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.3800–0.3837

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 103.73 ₴ +11.50 (+11.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 ₴

Share of fitting lots unknown: not enough for a contract: 5 items needed, market lots unknown, price understated

×5

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4945

39.85 ₴

at 7.97

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) — 8.12 ₴ +0.15 ₴ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.4500–0.4945
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Battle-Scarred) — 8.12 ₴ +0.15 ₴ per item · on the market 110 · buy 0.4500–0.4945
StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Battle-Scarred) — 8.36 ₴ +0.39 ₴ per item · on the market 78 · buy 0.4500–0.4945

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1686

33.22 ₴

at 11.07

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) — 11.50 ₴ +0.42 ₴ per item · on the market 107 · buy 0.1500–0.1686
StatTrak™ P2000 | Red Wing (Field-Tested) — 12.02 ₴ +0.94 ₴ per item · on the market 146 · buy 0.1500–0.1686
StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Field-Tested) — 12.54 ₴ +1.47 ₴ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.1500–0.1686

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3856

45.38 ₴

at 22.69

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Jambiya (Well-Worn) — 28.74 ₴ +6.05 ₴ per item · on the market 38 · buy 0.3800–0.3856
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Necropos (Well-Worn) — 29.00 ₴ +6.31 ₴ per item · on the market 79 · buy 0.3800–0.3856
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Cartel (Well-Worn) — 35.01 ₴ +12.32 ₴ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.3800–0.3856

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 118.45 ₴ +5.33 (+4.5%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 72%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Angel Eyes

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

73.38 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

312.30 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Cat Fight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

79.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

79.59 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Continuum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

68.18 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence

Field-Tested

float up to 0.299999

277.21 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Field-Tested

float up to 0.228749

152.35 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Field-Tested

float up to 0.374999

280.84 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Field-Tested

float up to 0.168749

158.04 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

236.90 ₴ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −5.45 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.95 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3392006 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 12.08₴ · invest 96.72₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Scumbria (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3377725 · The CS20 Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 11.85₴ · invest 89.00₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3391866 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 11.43₴ · invest 95.15₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn)
Craft 3387059 · The Falchion Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 11.43₴ · invest 97.93₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3391867 · The Genesis Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 11.11₴ · invest 95.15₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Whitefish (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486576 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165295 instead of 0.162462
Craft 3390996 · The Gamma Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 10.98₴ · invest 95.15₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Well-Worn); StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.508649 instead of 0.479802; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Caged (Field-Tested): float at most 0.174526 instead of 0.162462

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build