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The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −440.48$

Invest at least 865.39$

Average return 424.91$

ROI −50.9%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 865.39 $, profit at most −440.48 $

float premium: at least 480 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −324 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

243.77 $

at 30.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 36.23 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 41.98 $ +11.51 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0770

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

65.22 $

at 65.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 88.03 $ +22.81 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) — 93.73 $ +28.51 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

43.13 $

at 43.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 86.89 $ +43.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0462
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) — 122.70 $ +79.57 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0585

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 352.12 $ +72.80 (+20.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −309 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

213.29 $

at 30.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 36.23 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 41.98 $ +11.51 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0770

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

65.22 $

at 65.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 88.03 $ +22.81 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) — 93.73 $ +28.51 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

86.26 $

at 43.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 86.89 $ +43.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0462
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) — 122.70 $ +79.57 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0585

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 364.78 $ +48.32 (+13.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −294 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

182.82 $

at 30.47

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 36.23 $ +5.76 $ per item · on the market 65 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) — 41.98 $ +11.51 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy 0.0700–0.0770

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

65.22 $

at 65.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New) — 88.03 $ +22.81 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0000–0.0062
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New) — 93.73 $ +28.51 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

129.39 $

at 43.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 86.89 $ +43.76 $ per item · on the market 13 · buy 0.0000–0.0462
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) — 122.70 $ +79.57 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0585

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 377.44 $ +23.84 (+6.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 5%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Oligarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

530.11 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Full Throttle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

474.37 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

638.78 $ 5.00%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

93.88 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Genesis Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Recoil Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +27.76 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +61.95 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Genesis Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3391794 · The Genesis Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 79.81$ · invest 344.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −344 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Toybox (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear)
Craft 3391765 · The Genesis Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 78.94$ · invest 370.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −370 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076929 instead of 0.077088; StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Mirror Mosaic (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.006202

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Genesis Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build