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The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −262.25$

Invest at least 509.34$

Average return 247.09$

ROI −51.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 509.34 $, profit at most −262.25 $

float premium: at least 272 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +59.84 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −138 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

48.03 $

at 16.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Minimal Wear) — 17.67 $ +1.66 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0700–0.0701
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +29.37 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0501

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

126.47 $

at 25.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.68 $ +5.38 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0048
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +20.09 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1758
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1173

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 214.50 $ +32.58 (+15.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −307 $

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

101.17 $

at 25.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.68 $ +5.38 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0098
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +20.09 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0065

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1802

20.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1901
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1281

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0805

223.87 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0960
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0572

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 345.05 $ +40.63 (+11.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −253 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

126.47 $

at 25.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.68 $ +5.38 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0078
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +20.09 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0052

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1739

40.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1843
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1237

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

134.32 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0939
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0557

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 300.80 $ +50.24 (+16.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −390 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

50.59 $

at 25.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.68 $ +5.38 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +20.09 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

358.20 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0925
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0546

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 408.79 $ +46.19 (+11.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −460 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

25.29 $

at 25.29

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New) — 30.68 $ +5.38 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New) — 45.38 $ +20.09 $ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

358.20 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0924
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0545

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

86.27 $

at 86.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 106.30 $ +20.04 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0083
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 199.91 $ +113.64 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0278

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 469.76 $ +19.87 (+4.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 80%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

188.87 $ 40.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

220.04 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440.02 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

765.81 $ 10.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Glove Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.55 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.89 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build