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The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −2 334.60₸

Invest at least 4 525.97₸

Average return 2 191.36₸

ROI −51.6%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 4 525.97 ₸, profit at most −2 334.60 ₸

float premium: at least 2 523 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈1, цена занижена

×8

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

753.16 ₸

at 94.14

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested) — 93.81 ₸ cheaper by 0.34 ₸ · on the market 1 452 · buy 0.1500–0.1544
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Field-Tested) — 103.42 ₸ +9.28 ₸ per item · on the market 1 730 · buy 0.1500–0.1521
Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Field-Tested) — 145.72 ₸ +51.57 ₸ per item · on the market 1 981 · buy 0.1500–0.1638

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

192.56 ₸

at 192.56

if this one runs out, you can take

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear) — 196.78 ₸ +4.22 ₸ per item · on the market 491 · buy 0.0700–0.0705
Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Minimal Wear) — 351.21 ₸ +158.65 ₸ per item · on the market 741 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Factory New) — 1 179.90 ₸ +987.34 ₸ per item · on the market 602 · buy 0.0000–0.0694

Steam

×1

Negev | Bratatat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

999.71 ₸

at 999.71

if this one runs out, you can take

MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) — 1 462.16 ₸ +462.46 ₸ per item · on the market 93 · buy 0.1500–0.1812
XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) — 1 630.94 ₸ +631.23 ₸ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0800–0.1488
CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 2 139.68 ₸ +1 139.97 ₸ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0655

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 945.43 ₸ +245.93 (+12.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 6%
Losing outcome 49%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

AWP | Exothermic

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

2 291.64 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Sleeping Potion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 920.23 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218571

1 399.57 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218571

5 072.22 ₸ 2.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.042857

18 641.29 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.017142

5 071.26 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218571

1 051.67 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 only The Harlequin Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −55.34 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +136.38 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Harlequin Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Harlequin Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build