StatTrak™
Restricted → Classified
About the craftCraft 3393822 · ways to build: 5StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 5% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1616
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1.92 $
at 1.92
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $+0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.1500–0.1616
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $+3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0700–0.1131
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $+4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0700–0.1293
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161682f′ (normalized) 0.161682wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 48 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1616
(4% of this wear's listings)
5.50 $
at 5.50
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) — 6.15 $+0.65 $ per item · on the market 47 · buy0.1500–0.2110
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $+6.37 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.0000–0.0468
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $+9.80 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0700–0.1233
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161682f′ (normalized) 0.123364wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 87 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~5,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 18.93 $ · little data, days: 0
×8
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1616
(0% of this wear's listings)
49.18 $
at 6.15
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $+5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.0000–0.0260
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $+9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy0.1000–0.1342
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) — 28.90 $+22.75 $ per item · on the market 12 · buy0.0000–0.0685
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.161682f′ (normalized) 0.068535wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 47 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Set · 10 pcs56.60 $
+55.36
(+97.8%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −42 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −42 $: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New)
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1660
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1.92 $
at 1.92
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $+0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.1500–0.1660
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $+3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0700–0.1162
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $+4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0700–0.1328
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166073f′ (normalized) 0.166073wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 48 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0755
(0% of this wear's listings)
14.37 $
at 4.79
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) — 7.14 $+2.35 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.0700–0.0755
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 9.66 $+4.87 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0529
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 12.65 $+7.86 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0604
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075590f′ (normalized) 0.075590wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 34 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
×6
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1660
(0% of this wear's listings)
36.89 $
at 6.15
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $+5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.0000–0.0278
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $+9.15 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0700–0.0734
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $+9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy0.1000–0.1367
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.166073f′ (normalized) 0.073414wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 47 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Set · 10 pcs53.18 $
+34.06
(+64.0%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −39 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −39 $: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New), StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1657
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1.92 $
at 1.92
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $+0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.1500–0.1657
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $+3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0700–0.1160
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $+4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0700–0.1326
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165799f′ (normalized) 0.165799wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 48 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0754
(0% of this wear's listings)
19.16 $
at 4.79
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) — 7.14 $+2.35 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.0700–0.0754
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 9.66 $+4.87 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0528
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 12.65 $+7.86 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0603
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075495f′ (normalized) 0.075495wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 34 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
×5
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1657
(0% of this wear's listings)
30.74 $
at 6.15
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $+5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.0000–0.0277
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $+9.15 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0700–0.0731
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $+9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy0.1000–0.1365
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165799f′ (normalized) 0.073110wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 47 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Set · 10 pcs51.82 $
+27.18
(+52.5%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −37 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −37 $: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New), StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1654
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1.92 $
at 1.92
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $+0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.1500–0.1654
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $+3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0700–0.1158
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $+4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0700–0.1323
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165467f′ (normalized) 0.165467wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 48 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×5
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0753
(0% of this wear's listings)
23.95 $
at 4.79
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) — 7.14 $+2.35 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 9.66 $+4.87 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0527
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 12.65 $+7.86 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0603
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075379f′ (normalized) 0.075379wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 34 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
×4
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1654
(0% of this wear's listings)
24.59 $
at 6.15
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $+5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.0000–0.0276
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $+9.15 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0700–0.0727
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $+9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy0.1000–0.1363
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165467f′ (normalized) 0.072741wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 47 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
Set · 10 pcs50.47 $
+20.30
(+40.2%)
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −34 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −34 $: StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New), StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New), StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear)
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)Price understated: Only 7% of the wear range fits, and lots with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price without float, the real purchase will cost more.
×1
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1650
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
1.92 $
at 1.92
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $+0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.1500–0.1650
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $+3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0700–0.1155
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $+4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy0.0700–0.1320
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165056f′ (normalized) 0.165056wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 48 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×6
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0752
(0% of this wear's listings)
28.74 $
at 4.79
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Minimal Wear) — 7.14 $+2.35 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.0700–0.0752
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Factory New) — 9.66 $+4.87 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0526
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Factory New) — 12.65 $+7.86 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy0.0000–0.0601
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.075236f′ (normalized) 0.075236wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 34 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
×3
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1650
(0% of this wear's listings)
18.44 $
at 6.15
if this one runs out, you can take
StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 11.87 $+5.72 $ per item · on the market 105 · buy0.0000–0.0274
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat (Minimal Wear) — 15.30 $+9.15 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0700–0.0722
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) — 15.63 $+9.49 $ per item · on the market 39 · buy0.1000–0.1361
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.165056f′ (normalized) 0.072284wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 47 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 369.74 $sell now to a buy order: 364.88 $
(you get 317.28 $)) · buy orders: 1221
sell on Market.CSGO: 285.90 $ to your card
cheapest lot 313.48 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 259.99 $listings: 114
on CS.Money: ~ 280.90 $
on Lis-Skins: from 274.51 $listings: 106
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ Nova | Antique
Factory New
float up to 0.024999
21.71 $30.00%
SteamStatTrak™ Nova | Antique (Factory New)net 18.88 $The Phoenix Collectionsells 13 a weeknow 21.71 $ — cheaper than the month average 21.98 $sell now to a buy order: 17.86 $
(you get 15.53 $)) · buy orders: 338
sell on Market.CSGO: 17.34 $ to your card
cheapest lot 19.01 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 15.99 $listings: 27
on CS.Money: ~ 16.33 $
on Lis-Skins: from 17.01 $listings: 38
now 23.23 $ — cheaper than the month average 26.56 $sell now to a buy order: 19.76 $
(you get 17.18 $)) · buy orders: 693
sell on Market.CSGO: 19.80 $ to your card
cheapest lot 21.71 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 17.41 $listings: 31
on CS.Money: ~ 19.59 $
on Lis-Skins: from 19.98 $listings: 33
at a loss
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena
Factory New
float up to 0.058333
32.96 $3.33%
price without dealsrarely sells
SteamStatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)net 28.66 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 32.96 $sell now to a buy order: 32.54 $
(you get 28.30 $)) · buy orders: 909
sell on Market.CSGO: 31.07 $ to your card
cheapest lot 34.07 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 28.54 $listings: 23
on CS.Money: ~ 28.95 $
on Lis-Skins: from 29.78 $listings: 42
about break-even
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.083333
65.05 $3.33%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear)net 56.57 $sells 34 a weeknow 65.05 $ — cheaper than the month average 66.33 $sell now to a buy order: 57.46 $
(you get 49.97 $)) · buy orders: 745
sell on Market.CSGO: 55.38 $ to your card
cheapest lot 60.72 · lots 25
on CSFloat: from 48.00 $listings: 52
on CS.Money: ~ 55.47 $
on Lis-Skins: from 54.69 $listings: 61
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the buy order 32.42 $sell now to a buy order: 31.98 $
(you get 27.81 $)) · buy orders: 445
sell on Market.CSGO: 31.23 $ to your card
cheapest lot 34.24 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 28.70 $listings: 19
on CS.Money: ~ 27.76 $
on Lis-Skins: from 31.43 $listings: 8
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) × 15% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.161.92 → 4.15 $
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) × 15% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.165.50 → 11.88 $
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested) × 85% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.5949.18 → 127.38 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.083333233
outcomes come out up to 0.149999, 0.024999, 0.135833, 0.058333, 0.083333, 0.066666
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+40.57 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+53.93 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
12 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3397394
· The Phoenix Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 56.73$
· invest 58.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −52 $rare inputs
Craft 3397536
· The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 53.53$
· invest 62.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $rare inputs
StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163352 instead of 0.161682; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163352 instead of 0.161682
Craft 3397587
· The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 53.30$
· invest 58.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −51 $rare inputs
StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163665 instead of 0.161682; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163665 instead of 0.161682
Craft 3394354
· The Huntsman Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 52.56$
· invest 64.35$
profit on prices without salesat least −57 $rare inputs
StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162852 instead of 0.161682; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162852 instead of 0.161682
Craft 3397575
· The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 52.47$
· invest 66.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −61 $rare inputs
StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162852 instead of 0.161682; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162852 instead of 0.161682
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.