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Crafts · The Horizon Collection

prices from 24.10 13:23 MSK, older than a day

$≈

The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −12.02$

Invest at least 24.11$

Average return 12.09$

ROI −49.9%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 24.11 $, profit at most −12.02 $

float premium: at least 13 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +4.50 $ по средним

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

1.92 $

at 1.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $ +3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1153
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1317

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

4.84 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) — 0.86 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 113 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) — 1.15 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.1070
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 1.28 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.1153

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

3.45 $

at 1.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 1.28 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) — 1.69 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.1155

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.22 $ +1.87 (+18.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×7

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

13.47 $

at 1.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $ +3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1153
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1317

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

3.45 $

at 1.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 1.28 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) — 1.69 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.1155

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.92 $ +4.04 (+23.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

11.54 $

at 1.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $ +3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1153
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1317

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

0.81 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) — 0.86 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 113 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) — 1.15 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.1070
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 1.28 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.1153

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

3.45 $

at 1.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 1.28 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) — 1.69 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.1155

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.80 $ +3.68 (+23.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

9.62 $

at 1.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $ +3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1153
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1317

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

1.61 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) — 0.86 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 113 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) — 1.15 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.1070
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 1.28 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.1153

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

3.45 $

at 1.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 1.28 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) — 1.69 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.1155

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.68 $ +3.32 (+22.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

3.85 $

at 1.92

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested) — 1.99 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas (Minimal Wear) — 5.47 $ +3.54 $ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1153
StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore (Minimal Wear) — 6.57 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.1317

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1647

4.04 $

at 0.81

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Field-Tested) — 0.86 $ +0.06 $ per item · on the market 113 · buy 0.1500–0.1647
StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) — 1.15 $ +0.34 $ per item · on the market 163 · buy 0.0700–0.1070
StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 1.28 $ +0.47 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.1153

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

3.45 $

at 1.15

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear) — 1.28 $ +0.13 $ per item · on the market 106 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) — 1.40 $ +0.25 $ per item · on the market 111 · buy 0.0700–0.0809
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) — 1.69 $ +0.54 $ per item · on the market 162 · buy 0.0700–0.1155

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.34 $ +2.24 (+19.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115499

20.00 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

8.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

8.48 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

15.86 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

65.05 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

6.69 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.09 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3391293 · The Gamma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 1.87$ · invest 10.11$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Limelight (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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