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The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −306.69$

Invest at least 599.98$

Average return 293.29$

ROI −51.1%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 599.98 $, profit at most −306.69 $

float premium: at least 321 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +50.08 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −252 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×5

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0769

83.86 $

at 16.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +26.41 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0673
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +51.89 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.0961

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

147.85 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1699

20.00 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1804
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1208

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 251.70 $ +41.58 (+16.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −327 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

221.77 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

60.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1808
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1211

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

44.77 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0928
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0548

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 326.55 $ +43.73 (+13.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −432 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

73.92 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0053
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

358.20 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0927
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0547

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 432.12 $ +40.82 (+9.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −481 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

36.96 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0052
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0074

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

358.20 $

at 44.77

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) — 60.03 $ +15.25 $ per item · on the market 37 · buy 0.0700–0.0925
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New) — 86.27 $ +41.49 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0546

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

86.27 $

at 86.27

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Factory New) — 106.30 $ +20.04 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Factory New) — 199.91 $ +113.64 $ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0200–0.0279

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 481.43 $ +17.18 (+3.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −298 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

15.86 $

at 15.86

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear) — 16.77 $ +0.91 $ per item · on the market 15 · buy 0.0700–0.0865
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Minimal Wear) — 68.66 $ +52.80 $ per item · on the market 27 · buy 0.0700–0.1081

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

221.77 $

at 36.96

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New) — 43.19 $ +6.22 $ per item · on the market 18 · buy 0.0000–0.0043
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Nightmare (Factory New) — 133.23 $ +96.27 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1663

60.01 $

at 20.00

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) — 36.96 $ +16.96 $ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.1500–0.1771
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) — 51.51 $ +31.51 $ per item · on the market 3 · buy 0.0700–0.1182

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 297.64 $ +46.98 (+15.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

406.89 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

208.64 $ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440.02 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

765.81 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Recoil Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +29.04 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +38.98 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build